Kickoff Sunday, Oct 9th 4:05pm Eastern

49ers (
22.75) at

Panthers (
16.25)

Over/Under 39.0

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Notes

Key Matchups
49ers Run D
1st DVOA/7th Yards allowed per carry
Panthers Run O
16th DVOA/20th Yards per carry
49ers Pass D
4th DVOA/6th Yards allowed per pass
Panthers Pass O
31st DVOA/29th Yards per pass
Panthers Run D
10th DVOA/18th Yards allowed per carry
49ers Run O
24th DVOA/7th Yards per carry
Panthers Pass D
19th DVOA/4th Yards allowed per pass
49ers Pass O
16th DVOA/12th Yards per pass

Check back Thursday for the full game-by-game breakdown in the NFL Edge!

By Dwprix >>

Overview

  • Lowest total on main slate (39)
  • SF favored by 6.5
  • CAR is 28th in TD RZ scoring (44.4%)
  • SF is 31st (40.0%)
  • They finished 4th last season (64.4%)
  • SF D is 1st in pts/g allowed (11.5) 
  • CAR is 17th in pts/g (19.5)

Jimmy Garoppolo

  • 9 games w/o 20+ DK pts, 6 games w/o 300+ pass yds, 6 games w/o 20+ pass completions, 23 games w/o 3 pass TDs
  • SF is down to their 3rd string LT
  • Jimmy took 0 sacks on 27 pass attempts vs LAR last week
  • SF has allowed 1.8 sack/g (T-8th fewest)
  • CAR has 6 sacks (30th)
  • SF ranks 27th in pass play percent & 28th in pass attempts/g (27.0)
  • CAR has allowed 16.9 DK pts/g to QBs (13th least)

SF WRs

  • Deebo had previously went 8 games w/o 100+ yds, had 115 last week
  • Last weeks 2 carries were his fewest in 14 games
  • His receiving yds have went up every game (14, 44, 73, 115)
  • Of his 246 receiving yds, 195 are YAC
  • He’s 3rd in YAC behind Ekeler & Goedert
  • Target shares: Deebo (27%) Aiyuk (22%) Jennings (14%)
  • CAR has allowed 35.4 DK pts/g to WRs (13th most)

Jeff Wilson

  • Other RBs snaps have went down since Wilson’s 1st start: (Price 30) // (Mason 5) // (Coleman 1)
  • 70+ rush yds in each of his 3 starts
  • 64% rush yd share in 3 starts
  • SF ranks 9th in rush yds/g (135.3)
  • CAR D ranks 25th in rush yds/g allowed (134.0)
  • They’ve allowed 22.1 DK pts/g to RBs (15th)

George Kittle

  • 9 straight w/o 10 tgts
  • In two games played, Kittle has ran a route on 90% of his pass down snaps
  • Targets: (4, 5, DNP, DNP)
  • CAR D has allowed 11.0 DK pts/g to TEs (15th)

Baker Mayfield

  • SF D ranks 2nd in pass yds/g allowed (161.3)
  • Mayfield has only topped 200 yds in WK1 (197, 170, 145, 235)
  • SF D allowed 9.9 DK pts to QBs (1st) facing Fields (14.6), Smith (7.1), Wilson (9.1), & Stafford (8.8)
  • Mayfield DK pts: (CLE 15.9, NYG 16.2, NO 15.2, ARI 15.3)

Christian McCaffrey

  • Tgts: (9, 4, 5, 4)
  • Tgt Share: 20%
  • Rush attempts: (8, 25, 15, 10)
  • 8 carries last week were his fewest in 12 games excluding games he left injured
  • If you exclude his rookie season, last games of the season, & games he left injured, he’s only had 3 career games w/o 10+ carries
  • CAR ranks 27th in rush attempts/g & 18th in rush play percent (40.2%)
  • SF has allowed the 2nd fewest pts/g to RBs (16.3)

CAR WRs

  • Targets: (Moore 29) // Anderson (22) // Smith (13)
  • Moore only has 13 receptions on 29 tgts (45% catch rate)
  • SF DK pts allowed to WRs: (Kupp 29.2) // (Sutton 17.7) // (Jeudy 3.7) // (Metcalf 7.5) // (Lockett 22.7) // (Pettis 12.1) // Mooney (1.8)
  • CAR WRs have only topped 15 DK pts once (Anderson WK1 24.2)
  • SF has allowed the 6th least DK pts to WRs (30.3)

CAR TEs

  • Ian Thomas has 3 tgts in every game
  • He’s yet to score or see a RZ target
  • Tommy Tremble tgts: (6, 1, 0, 1)
  • Tremble’s only tgt WK1 was a RZ tgt 
  • Thomas also has 1 RZ tgt
  • SF has allowed 5th least DK pts to TEs (6.6)