Kickoff Sunday, Oct 9th 4:25pm Eastern

Eagles (
27) at
Cards (
21.5)

Over/Under 48.5

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Notes

Key Matchups
Eagles Run D
19th DVOA/21st Yards allowed per carry
Cardinals Run O
8th DVOA/2nd Yards per carry
Eagles Pass D
28th DVOA/13th Yards allowed per pass
Cardinals Pass O
25th DVOA/29th Yards per pass
Cardinals Run D
31st DVOA/29th Yards allowed per carry
Eagles Run O
6th DVOA/12th Yards per carry
Cardinals Pass D
31st DVOA/21st Yards allowed per pass
Eagles Pass O
7th DVOA/11th Yards per pass

Game Overview ::

By Mike johnson >>
  • The machine that is the Eagles offense continues to roll, scoring 28 points in the remnants of a hurricane against a very good defense last week.
  • The blitz-heavy tendencies of the Cardinals will leave them exposed in one-on-one situations against the playmakers of the Eagles.
  • The Cardinals offense is basically operating at a level of “organized dysfunction” this season.
  • The Eagles defense is for real and has allowed only 28 first-half points in four games this season.
  • This is the game with the highest scoring expectations on the slate, with a very high floor and an unknown ceiling

How Philidelphia Will Try To Win ::

The Eagles appear to be a team that will beat their opponent in whatever way the game situation calls for:

  • In Week 1, the Eagles had four rushing touchdowns and dominated the Lions (who are now ranked dead last in run defense) for most of the game before a late Detroit comeback made the score look closer than it was.
  • In Weeks 2 and 3, the Eagles threw the ball all over the weak pass defenses of the Vikings and Commanders.
  • In Week 4, the Eagles once again leaned on their running game to the tune of four touchdowns in game conditions that made throwing the ball very difficult and they did so against a Jaguars defense that was previously ranked as one of the top run defenses in the league.

If we are looking for context clues for how the Eagles will try to attack, it appears that they are balanced and talented enough to pick their spots and attack the weaknesses or tendencies of their opponents. This week’s game is in a dome in Arizona, so there will be no weather issues here. They are also facing a Cardinals team that blitzes at the highest rate in the league, has Football Outsiders’ 28th ranked pass defense by DVOA, and is ranked 32nd and 30th, respectively, in coverage grade and pass rush grade by PFF. These signs all point to a high likelihood of an aggressive and pass-heavy game plan for the Eagles, as they will look to isolate and exploit the talents of their elite receiving corps against man coverage on the back end when the Cardinals bring their blitzes. It is also worth noting that the Eagles offensive line is PFF’s #1 graded pass blocking unit, making it unlikely that the Cardinals pressures get home very often and increasing the chances of big plays down the field early and often.

How Arizona Will Try To Win ::

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Overview

  • PHI is the only undefeated team in the league
  • Highest total on main slate (49)
  • PHI favored by 5
  • ARI is 1st in plays/g (73.0)
  • PHI is 5th (71.3)
  • PHI is favored by 5.5 pts
  • ARI is 14th in pts/g (22.0)
  • PHI is 4th in pts/g (28.8)

Jalen Hurts

  • Has been QB15, 3, 1, & 5 on DK
  • 4 pass TDs // 4 rush TDs // 2 INTs 
  • DK pts: (17.0-2.1x) // (30.6-4.0x) // (37.0-5.2x) // (24.7-3.6x)
  • PHI ranks 6th in pass yds/g (270.3) attempting the 9th least passes (30.8)
  • Hurts has a 34% rush attempt share
  • ARI has allowed 19.0 DK pts to QBs (14th most)
  • They’ve faced Mayfield (8.9 DK pts), Stafford (10.2), Carr (19.0), & Mahomes (24.0)

PHI WRs

  • AJ Brown tgts (7, 10, 8, 13)
  • He’s 3rd in receiving yds/g (101.0) on only 25 receptions (Hill, Diggs)
  • DK pts: (14.5, 19.5, 11.9, 28.5)
  • Tgt shares: (Brown 32%) // (Smith 23%) // (Pascal 6%) // (Watkins 3%)
  • Smith DK pts: (4.7, 33.9, 15.0, 0.0)
  • ARI has allowed 30.8 DK pts/g to WRs (8th fewest)

PHI RBs

  • Rush shares: (Sanders 47%) // (Gainwell 10%) // (Scott 7%)
  • Tgts: (Sanders 9) // (Gainwell 8) // (Scott 1)
  • Sanders had 27 rush attempts last week (134 yds, 2 TDs)
  • That was the highest of his career
  • ARI has allowed 23.5 DK pts/g  to RBs (13th most)

Dallas Goedert

  • Goedert’s 20 tgts (3rd on team) for a 17% share
  • Tgts: (6, 4, 6, 4)
  • 5.0 tgts/g is T-13th among TEs
  • ARI has allowed 20.8 DK pts/g to TEs (most)

Kyler Murray

  • Murray w/o Hopkins last season: (13.6, 21.9, 22.9, 17.1)
  • This season: (23.9, 16.4, 24.9, 20.6)
  • It’s been 10 games since Murray has scored 25+ DK pts 
  • Murray rushed 12 times for 26 yds & 1 TD last week 
  • That’s his highest rush attempts in 21 games
  • PHI has allowed 12.2 DK pts/g to QBs (4th fewest)

ARI WRs

  • Brown is 3rd in tgts overall (11, 17, 11, 6 // 11.3/g)
  • Target shares: (Brown 26%) // (Dortch 14%) // (Green 8%)
  • Rondale Moore made his return last week seeing 5 tgts
  • Dortch only had 1 tgt last week
  • ARZ is 2nd in pass attempts/g (44.3)
  • They finished 17th last season (34.7)
  • PHI has allowed 33.5 DK pts/g to WRs (15th fewest)

ARI RBs

  • ARI is 15th in rush yds/g (112.0)
  • Rush shares: (Conner 42%) // (Benjamin 21%) // (Murray 22%) (Conner missed most of WK2)
  • Conner had 18 total TDs last season
  • He has just 1 this season
  • ARI ranks 12th in rush attempts/g (27.0)
  • PHI has allowed 22.4 DK pts/g to RBs (16th fewest) 

Zach Ertz

  • He was 2nd in tgts/g among TEs coming into last week (8.3)
  • After 6 tgts last week, he’s dropped to 4th (6, 10, 11, 4 // 7.8/g)
  • 18% team tgt share
  • PHI has allowed 9.2 DK pts/g to TEs (12th fewest)