Kickoff Monday, Sep 26th 8:15pm Eastern

Cowboys (
18.75) at

Giants (
19.75)

Over/Under 38.5

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Notes

Key Matchups
Cowboys Run D
25th DVOA/16th Yards allowed per carry
Giants Run O
7th DVOA/24th Yards per carry
Cowboys Pass D
5th DVOA/20th Yards allowed per pass
Giants Pass O
19th DVOA/31st Yards per pass
Giants Run D
21st DVOA/25th Yards allowed per carry
Cowboys Run O
12th DVOA/9th Yards per carry
Giants Pass D
23rd DVOA/15th Yards allowed per pass
Cowboys Pass O
13th DVOA/2nd Yards per pass

XANDAMERE’S SHOWDOWN SLANT

Week 3 closes out with the Cowboys visiting the Giants in another island game Showdown special with a sub-40 point total (39.5, to be precise). The Giants are favored by one point in this game that nobody except local fans would watch if it weren’t for single-game DFS. 

New York

We’ll start with the Giants, where a resurgent Saquon Barkley is the clear centerpiece of their offense. Saquon has played 84% of the offensive snaps so far (absolutely elite) and has 25 running back opportunities per game so far (also elite) with 11 targets (yep, elite). Dude’s a monster. He should be the highest-owned captain and the highest-owned overall player. The only case we can make against him is that “football is a high-variance sport.” If you do want to bet against Saquon, one path to him failing is an early injury, in which case Matt Breida has been operating as his backup. Otherwise, Breida is just a desperation play with six carries and one target in two games. 

Showdown Ownership Projections!

Ownership updates automatically

In the passing game, Kadarius Toney is doubtful and I’m assuming he’s out, which is very fantasy relevant as his snap count jumped from 12% in Week 1 to 38% in Week 2. And he was $3k. Alas. Wan’Dale Robinson is also out and Kenny Golladay appears to be in the doghouse, leaving Sterling Shepard, David Sills, and Richie James as the primary wideouts. Recognize here that Golladay could come OUT of the doghouse at any time – they did give him a big contract, after all. But, absent anything weird, we should expect these three guys to be the main guys. Shep is actually good, and at $7,600 is underpriced for a WR1 role, even with Daniel Jones as his QB. Richie James is also good, and I am personally not worried by his low snap count in Week 2 as that was primarily driven by Toney going up, and now Toney’s hurt. David Sills is kind of just a guy but he’ll be on the field a ton. I rank them Shep, James, Sills in terms of who I want the most exposure to. At tight end, there’s a 3-way rotation with Daniel Bellinger, Tanner Hudson, and Chris Myrarick, with Bellinger leading in snaps but Hudson leading in routes and targets. Hudson is also just $1,600, and I very much prefer him to Bellinger. 

By LexMiraglia10 >>

Daniel Jones:

  • NYG have just 40 pts through two weeks vs TEN & CAR
  • DAL has allowed just 36 pts through two weeks vs TB & CIN
  • 2021 DAL allowed 24 TDs to 26 INT
  • 2022 QBs vs DAL: Brady (212:1:1) // Burrow (199:1)
  • DAL has the 3rd most sacks through 2 weeks (8)
  • Jones has been sacked 8 times already himself
  • Jones in 2022: 188:2:1 // 176:1
  • Jones 12 games with Pat Shurmur: 24 TDs to 12 INT
  • Jones 24 games with Jason Garrett: 21 TDs to 17 INT
  • Jones 2 games with Brian Daboll: 3 TDs to 1 INT
  • Jones didn’t play a full game vs DAL in 2021

NYG WRs:

  • Targets: Shepard (4, 10) // James (6, 6) // Sills (0, 4)
  • Production: Shep (71:1 / 34) // James (59 / 51) // Sills (0 // 37)
  • WRs vs DAL: Evans (71:1), Julio (69) // Higgins (71:1), Chase (54)
  • Richie James has 79 of hs 110 yds in the middle of the field between 0-20 yds
  • James has been in the slot for 60 of his 84 snaps
  • Shepard has been in the slot for 43 of his 107 snaps
  • DAL has faced 41 WR tg through two weeks

Saquon Barkley:

  • RBs vs DAL: Fournette: (127, 10) // Mixon (57, 26)
  • Saquon in 2022: (164, 30) // (72, 16)
  • Saquon has 7 & 4 tg through two weeks in 2022
  • Saquon full game vs DAL in 2021: (15:50, 4:24)
  • Saquon total yds vs DAL in career: 102 // 142 // 139 // 95 // 74
  • NYG are a 1-pt home favorite

Cooper Rush:

  • QBs vs NYG: Tannehill (266:2) // Mayfield (145:1)
  • Rush’s two starts since 2021: 325:2:1 // 235:1
  • He’s thrown 40 & 31 att in his two starts
  • NYG have faced the 8th highest def aDOT through two games
  • Rush’s 7.9 aDOT falls around the middle of 2022 QBs

DAL WRs:

  • Targets in Rush starts: Cooper (13 / -) // Lamb (8 / 11) // Brown (2 / 5) // Schultz (7 / 4)
  • Leading WRs in Rush starts: Cooper (122:1) // Lamb (112 / 75) // Brown (91:1)
  • 20 WRs had 60+ yds vs NYG in 2021
  • 2021 NYG allowed 18 WR TDs
  • 2022 WRs vs NYG: Phillips (66), Burks (55) // DJ Moore (43:1), Anderson (32)

DAL RBs:

  • DAL RBs rushing in Rush starts: Elliott (16:50, 15:53) // Pollard (7:26, 9:43:1)
  • DAL RBs receiving in Rush starts: Elliott (4:23, 1:-4) // Pollard (1:1, 4:55)
  • NYG ranked dead last in def rush DVOA in 2021
  • 2022 RBs rushing vs NYG: Henry (21:82) // CMC (15:102)
  • 7 RBs had 30+ rec yds vs NYG in 2021 (4 of 60+)
  • 2022 RBs receiving vs NYG: Hilliard (3:61:1) // CMC (4:26)
  • Rush threw to RBs 9 times in W2