Full Week 7 NFL Edge >

Thursday, Oct 22nd
Patriots 24
Bears 27
Sunday, Oct 25th — Early
Steelers 24
Saints 21
49ers 26.25
Falcons 23.75
Browns 19.5
Titans 18
Colts 17.5
Vikings 24
Dolphins 17.25
Jets 21.75
Bucs 20.75
Panthers 23.75
Bengals 23.75
Ravens 25.25
Giants 16
Texans 26.5
Sunday, Oct 25th — Late
Broncos 23.75
Cards 19.75
Packers 25
Lions 28.5
Rams 26
Raiders 22
Chiefs 20
Hawks 22.5
Monday, Oct 26th
Cowboys 24
Eagles 20

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ONE WEEK STATS

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NFL · MATCHUP INTELLIGENCE

FIND THE GAME ENVIRONMENTS THAT CAN WIN A SLATE.

Compare pace, efficiency, play volume, & concentrated opportunity.

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Drive & Scoring

DSR (Drive Success Rate)
Share of down series a team converts. Higher = more sustained drives.
RZ Eff (Red Zone Efficiency)
TD rate on drives that reach inside the 20. Higher = more red-zone trips finish as touchdowns.

Passing

PROE (Pass Rate Over Expectation)
How often a team passes vs. what a league-average team would in the same situations. Positive = pass-leaning; negative = run-leaning.
CPOE (Completion % Over Expectation)
Completion rate vs. expected given the depth & difficulty of throws. Positive = more accurate than the average passer on those throws.
EPA/Pass (Expected Points Added per Pass)
Average point value added on pass plays. Higher = more productive passing.
Explosive Pass
Explosive pass plays per game. Higher = more chunk plays through the air.

Rushing

EPA/Rush (Expected Points Added per Run)
Average point value added on run plays. Higher = more productive rushing.

Volume

Plays Available
Plays a team runs per game. A proxy for pace & volume, more plays = more opportunity.

Matchup View

Implied Points
Points a team is projected to score, from the latest sportsbook lines. Higher = a better-scoring environment.
Blended Matchup Metric
A team’s offense averaged with the defense it faces this week, so each number reflects the actual matchup, not the offense in a vacuum.
Yard Share (Rec / Rush)
The share of a team’s receiving or rushing yards a given player accounts for. Higher = a more concentrated role.

Target Share Allowed (Defense)

Targets Allowed
Targets a defense gives up, split by position (WR / RB / TE; fullbacks & halfbacks count as RB).
Share Allowed
The portion of a defense’s total targets that goes to each position. Shows which position group a defense gets attacked in most.

Explosive Plays

Explosive Pass
A pass play of 15+ yards.
Explosive Run
A run play of 10+ yards.

Reading the Colors

How to Read the Ranks
Strong weekly environmentMiddle of the slateWeaker weekly environment
Heatmap
Cells are shaded on a red-to-green scale. Green = stronger / more favorable, red = weaker / less favorable, relative to the rest of the league that week.
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