Game Overview ::
By hilow >>
- Commanders RB Austin Ekeler (concussion) did not practice Wednesday or Thursday, meaning he was still experiencing symptoms and making it highly unlikely he would play in Week 13.
- Titans WR Calvin Ridley (ankle) did not practice Wednesday but returned as a full participant Thursday.
- The Titans are extremely banged up on defense, with five starters listed on the injury report Wednesday.
- Commanders WR Noah Brown was added to the injury report Thursday as a non-participant with a knee injury.
- Commanders RB Brian Robinson (ankle) was limited in both early practices this week.
- Titans RB Tyjae Spears (concussion) is listed as questionable after consecutive full practices to end the week.
- Since Week 4, the Commanders have allowed the second most rush yards while holding teams to the fifth fewest pass yards.
How tennessee Will Try To Win ::
In three games since returning as the starter under center, Will Levis has pass attempts of 23, 31, and 24, clearly indicating how Brian Callahan would like to try to win games. In fact, the Titans have just two games all season with a positive pass rate over expectation, primarily floating in the neutral-to-negative range. But the Titans have largely been forced into this offensive stance considering their team composition, with a defense allowing the second fewest yards per game but the sixth most points per game, mostly due to an offense that has given the ball away at the second highest rate this season.
Tyjae Spears returned to practice for the first time since suffering a concussion in Week 11, managing consecutive full showings to end the week. He should return to a normal workload against the Commanders. That removes a lot of the allure of Tony Pollard, who saw opportunity counts of 22, 24, 31, and 29 in the four games without Spears this season. Spears isn’t overly likely to see a robust workload on a weekly basis more than what his presence does to sap the upside from this backfield, which is important considering the Commanders have allowed the second most rush yards since Week 4. Again, nothing really jumps off the page here.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has scored in six of his previous seven games, entering a near-every-down role in Week 8 following the departure of DeAndre Hopkins. Even so, he has returned just one GPP-viable score in that stretch. Calvin Ridley has returned three GPP-viable scores this season, two of which have come since the departure of Nuk. That said, he has seen double-digit targets just once all season, with the likeliest range that puts him in the six to nine target envelope. His high aDOT (16.3) effectively keeps his weekly range of outcomes wide, something we typically look to attack at lower ownership. The problem is that the Commanders function as a “force you to march the field” defense while allowing the fourth fewest pass yards since Week 4. Slot receiver Tyler Boyd and the tight end unit have combined for exactly zero GPP-viable scores this season.
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