Kickoff Sunday, Nov 3rd 4:25pm Eastern

Rams (
24.75) at

Hawks (
23.75)

Over/Under 48.5

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Notes

Game Overview ::

By mike johnson >>
  • This is an important battle in the NFC West prior to the Seahawks heading into their Week 10 bye.
  • The Rams offense is finally fully healthy and is coming off their best game of the season, an upset victory over the Vikings.
  • Seattle has lost three straight games at home while surrendering 32 points per game in those contests.
  • DK Metcalf missed Week 8 with a knee injury and did not practice on Wednesday, putting his status for this game in doubt. The Seattle offense struggled immensely without his presence.
  • This is a game where we can expect offensive success on both sides of the ball, but a likely lack of explosive plays means red zone efficiency and the turnover battle will likely determine the outcome.

How los angeles Will Try To Win ::

The Rams had a rough start to the season and there was a time when it felt like almost their entire roster was injured. However, they steadied the ship and did enough to stay alive until reinforcements arrived. Los Angeles has now won back-to-back games since their Week 6 bye and their offensive “Big 3” of Kyren Williams, Cooper Kupp, and Puka Nacua is now intact and positioned to help the Rams contend in the crowded NFC West, where all four teams are within a half a game. Last week, with the return of Kupp and Nacua, the Rams offense was humming. That game was the highest point total and yardage total that they have had in 2024, which is made even more impressive when you consider that Minnesota has the NFL’s #1 ranked defense in DVOA.

As for how the Rams will attack the Seahawks defense this week, player usage will be pretty straightforward with this team at full health. In last week’s game, the “Big 3” accounted for roughly 70% of the team’s targets, receptions, and yards from scrimmage while handling just under 80% of the team’s “opportunities” (carries plus targets). Third wide receiver Demarcus Robinson scored two of the team’s touchdowns, which slightly hides how concentrated this offense really was. The Rams play calling also tilted more pass heavy as they had their highest neutral pass rate since Week 1 when both Kupp and Nacua played as well. This does not mean they abandon the run by any means, but they will be a far more aggressive offense than what we saw in weeks 2 through 7. However they choose to attack in any game script, we can expect the overwhelming majority of their plays to go through their stars with a few scraps left for the others.

Seattle’s defense has been getting smashed on the ground and the Rams offense is built in a way that focuses on the running game and then expands into their other concepts based on that success. This matchup should allow Los Angeles to play exactly how they would like to, and the Seattle scheme and personnel do not in any way stand out as likely to stop the Rams from getting the ball to the players they want to. Seattle has a middling pass rush, blitzes at a bottom-10 rate in the NFL, and ranks in the middle of the league in both man and zone coverage rates, so there are no extreme factors in how they play that should push the Rams in a certain direction. Matthew Stafford has struggled under pressure this year, but that is largely due to the fact that he was playing without Kupp and Nacua. In 2023, he ranked 7th in PFF passing grade when under pressure, and even if the Seahawks are able to generate some pressure, he should be able to make them pay. Expect the Rams to have an aggressive game plan and feature their stars early on as they attempt to put their below-average defense in position to play with a lead.

How seattle Will Try To Win ::

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