Kickoff Monday, Dec 25th 4:30pm Eastern

Giants (
14.25) at

Eagles (
28.25)

Over/Under 42.5

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Notes

Key Matchups
Giants Run D
29th DVOA/30th Yards allowed per carry
Eagles Run O
6th DVOA/12th Yards per carry
Giants Pass D
19th DVOA/26th Yards allowed per pass
Eagles Pass O
7th DVOA/11th Yards per pass
Eagles Run D
19th DVOA/21st Yards allowed per carry
Giants Run O
31st DVOA/15th Yards per carry
Eagles Pass D
28th DVOA/13th Yards allowed per pass
Giants Pass O
30th DVOA/30th Yards per pass

Game Overview ::

By mike johnson >>
  • Philadelphia looks to end a three-game losing streak and keep their hopes for an NFC East title alive.
  • The Giants and Tommy DeVito were brought back to reality last week as the Saints defense shut them down in a 24-6 rout. 
  • The Giants have scored more than 17 points only three times this season, and all three instances came against teams in the bottom 5 in the NFL in defensive DVOA.
  • This is a prime bounce-back spot for star wide receiver AJ Brown.
  • New York may not have the personnel required to attack the defensive weakness of the Eagles.

How new york Will Try To Win ::

The Giants have been a “feel good” story of late, as everyone loves to cheer for an underdog, and their current quarterback is an undrafted rookie who grew up not far away. They went on a three-game winning streak during Tommy DeVito’s run as the starting quarterback, but last week, the Saints exposed them by shutting down the running game and exploiting DeVito’s shortcomings as a passer. New Orleans sold out to stop the Giants running backs, holding them to two yards per carry on twelve attempts, and dared the Giants to beat them through the air. New York was unable to do anything of the sort, as they managed only 73 passing yards through the first three-quarters of the game.

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This week the Giants face an Eagles defense that is generally much stronger against the run than the pass and that has given up several big games through the air this season. This presents a problem for the Giants as they are likely to need to score a lot of points to keep up with the Eagles, and they are going to struggle to establish a running game, which will likely leave DeVito in tough down-and-distance situations. After watching the tape from last week, the Eagles should feel very confident that they can create trouble for the Giants by focusing on containing Saquon Barkley and betting against the Giants passing game. The Eagles secondary has struggled at times this year, but those struggles have primarily been against strong passing teams and/or teams like the Commanders, whose offense naturally operates at a high pass rate. The Giants rank 22nd in the NFL in Pass Rate Over Expectation and 19th in seconds per play. This is not a team that is built to play fast or to throw often. DeVito is a complementary player whose most successful games have come when Saquon Barkley is able to be used as an effective focal point of the offense. The Giants will certainly try to make Barkley the engine of the offense again in this spot as they hope to draw the Eagles into a low-scoring battle, but it seems unlikely that they will be successful given the context of the matchup and their struggles sustaining drives last week when they went 2 for 16 on third down conversions.

How philadelphia Will Try To Win ::

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