Kickoff Sunday, Oct 2nd 1:00pm Eastern

Jaguars (
18.75) at

Eagles (
25.25)

Over/Under 44.0

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Notes

Key Matchups
Jaguars Run D
1st DVOA/24th Yards allowed per carry
Eagles Run O
10th DVOA/1st Yards per carry
Jaguars Pass D
7th DVOA/17th Yards allowed per pass
Eagles Pass O
4th DVOA/25th Yards per pass
Eagles Run D
25th DVOA/9th Yards allowed per carry
Jaguars Run O
18th DVOA/22nd Yards per carry
Eagles Pass D
3rd DVOA/11th Yards allowed per pass
Jaguars Pass O
2nd DVOA/22nd Yards per pass

Game Overview ::

By mike johnson >>
  • The upstart Jaguars head to Philly for an early season test.
  • The Eagles appear to be the best team in the NFC, with dominant performances on both sides of the ball.
  • Both teams have talented players on offense but no direct focal point that all of the offense revolves around.
  • Both teams appear to be “for real,” ranking top-6 in DVOA on both sides of the ball.

How jacksonville Will Try To Win ::

Trevor Lawrence is quickly ascending the ranks of NFL QBs after a lackluster rookie season marred by a trainwreck coaching staff and underwhelming organizational efficiency. Doug Pederson appears to have righted the ship and takes his redemption tour into “The Linc” in Philadelphia, where he previously brought home a Lombardi trophy as the Eagles head coach during his five-year tenure. This game will certainly have added meaning for Pederson, and his troops are likely to be up for the challenge after a wildly impressive cross-country victory in Los Angeles against the Chargers in Week 3, as they dominated the game from start to finish on both sides of the ball and won by four touchdowns against a talented team that many had picked as a top team in the AFC this year.

Jacksonville’s tempo has risen dramatically this year as they currently have the 7th fastest situation-neutral pace of play in the NFL after ranking 19th in the same category in 2021. The Jaguars have been around league average in their pass rate and pass rate over expectation through three weeks, but some of those statistics are still hard to gauge at this point due to the Jags dominating their opponents over the last two weeks. In their running game, the impressive return of James Robinson from an achilles injury has given them a clear lead back who is complemented nicely by Travis Etienne in a change of pace and passing downs role. Finally, Trevor Lawrence has made the most of his new weapons as he has quickly shown chemistry with newcomers Christian Kirk, Zay Jones, and Evan Engram. The Eagles don’t have a clear area of weakness on defense, but they do play a lot of man coverage and have very talented corners on the perimeter, which should increase the chances of the offense flowing through the middle of the field in the running game, short area passing, and targets to Kirk and Engram from the slot and tight end position.

How philadelphia Will Try To Win ::

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By MadDukes22 >>

Overview

  • O/U 47.5 (4th): Phi 26.75 (3rd) // Jax 20.25 (24th)
  • Jax +6.5 second largest spread on the week. Jax was +7 @LAC last week.
  • Both teams are top 10 Off in Plays, Yds, TDs, Rush Atts, and DVOA
  • Both teams are top 10 Def in Yds, Pts, TOs, Comp %, and DVOA
  • Neutral play rate: Phi 28.20 (2nd) // Jax 29.24 (7th)

Trevor Lawrence

  • 115 DB, 35 Pressures, 2 sacks on the season (tied fewest sacks given up)
  • RZ passing: 7.67 att/g // 2.67 att/g inside the 5
  • Comp % 69.4 this season // 59.6 last season
  • Y/A 7.0 this season // 6.0 last season
  • 25.2 fpts last week against the Chargers was highest of his career
  • Phi D giving up 5.1 yds/att (1st)
  • FD: 7.5K (12.5%) // DK: 5.7K (11.4%)
  • Jax 2nd in Pass DVOA

Jax Rushing

  • Robison 38.7 snaps/g, 17 att/g (3.3 in RZ), 2.3 tgts/g
  • Robison 3rd in fpts/g // 17th in DK salary // 7th in FD salary
  • Etienne 29.7 snaps/g, 8.7 att/g (2.7 in RZ), 3.3 tgts/g
  • Phi 25th run DVOA, but only face 20.3 att/g this season

Jax Receiving 

  • Targets/g: Kirk 9 // Zay 8 // Jones 6 // Engram 5
  • Yards/g: Kirk 89 // Zay 57.7 // Jones 34.7 // Engram 27.7
  • Air Yards/g: Kirk 80 // Zay 45 // Jones 92 // Engram 28
  • McLaurin (102) only receiver over 65 yards vs Phi this season 
  • Phi D 55.3% catch rate (3rd) // 2nd in pass DVOA

Jalen Hurts

  • Passing: Avg 32 att // 305 yds per game
  • Rushing: Avg 12.3 att // 6 designed // 55 yards // 2.7 RZ att per game
  • 2nd in Overall PFF QB grades // Highest graded passer

Phi Rushing

  • Rush/g: Sanders 15 // Gainwell 3.3 // Scott 3.3
  • RZ Opps/g: Sanders 1.3 // Gainwell 1.3 // Scott 0.3
  • Jax facing the fewest rush atts/g // 1st in rush DVOA

Phi Receiving

  • Targets/g: AJ 10.3 (33.3%) // Smith 7.7(23.9%) // Goeddert 4.7 (15%)
  • Yards/g: AJ 103 // Smith 83 // Goeddert 56
  • Air Yards/g: AJ 112 // Smith 98 // Goeddert 18 
  • No receiver has gone over 100 yds vs Jax yet (Palmer had 99)
  • Jax D 54.1% catch rate leads NFL // 7th in pass DVOA