Kickoff Sunday, Dec 26th 1:00pm Eastern

Giants (
15) at

Eagles (
26)

Over/Under 41.0

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Notes

Key Matchups
Giants Run D
22nd DVOA/25th Yards allowed per carry
Eagles Run O
3rd DVOA/1st Yards per carry
Giants Pass D
21st DVOA/15th Yards allowed per pass
Eagles Pass O
6th DVOA/25th Yards per pass
Eagles Run D
29th DVOA/9th Yards allowed per carry
Giants Run O
11th DVOA/24th Yards per carry
Eagles Pass D
4th DVOA/11th Yards allowed per pass
Giants Pass O
19th DVOA/31st Yards per pass

Game Overview ::

By papy324>>
  • The Giants will be deciding their QB midweek.
  • Saquon Barkley played 59% of the snaps last week.
  • Jalen Hurts is unlikely to throw over 30 times.
  • The Eagles backfield was a timeshare last week.

How new york Will Try To Win ::

The 4-10 Giants come into this game at the tail end of a lost year. Things could not have gone much worse for the G-Men. They fired their inept offensive coordinator midseason, lost Saquon Barkley for six weeks (he may never be the same), have a pack of glass figurines at WR, and placed Daniel Jones on the IR with a mysterious neck injury that wasn’t severe enough to drive him from the game in which he sustained it but was bad enough to end his season. Joe Judge’s team is a mess, and they are going to struggle to win any games down the stretch.

This week, the G-men get an Eagles defense that has been below average against the pass (24th in DVOA), and middling against the run (15th in DVOA). Freddie Kitchens is doing his best to install a new offense on the fly with no consistency at QB, and one of the worst O-lines in football. The Giants are still playing fast (8th in situational neutral pace), which is a slight uptick since Freddie Kitchens took over, but they are running a lot of inefficient plays. The Giants are going to keep trying to figure out what works, with the starting QB situation “to be determined during practice this week,” according to Joe Judge. 

How philadelphia Will Try To Win ::

The 7-7 Eagles come into Week 16 having gone 4-1 in their last five games, with their only loss coming in a poor letdown game against these Giants. The Eagles made a clear decision in Week 6 to change their play style and limit Jalen Hurts pass attempts. Since then, Hurts has never been asked to throw over 35 times, and the Eagles have established a clear identity that is reminiscent of the Ravens during Lamar Jackson’s early years. The Eagles play fast (5th in situational neutral pace), but slow down if they’re ahead (21st in pace). The tendency to come out fast and slow down when leading makes the Eagles a team that can create shootouts when their opponent keeps up, but they are unlikely to reach a ceiling game in contests they easily control. The G-men have a defense that is terrible on the ground (28th in DVOA), and middling against the pass (13th in DVOA), which plays into the hands of how the Eagles want to attack. They are highly likely to play in their preferred method of using an up-tempo run game where their QB functions as a hybrid RB that can throw off play fakes. The Eagles style is particularly effective against teams that struggle to stop the run, and they are set up well to have success in this matchup. Expect the Eagles to play their usual style, before slowing way down in the second half with a multiple touchdown lead.

Likeliest Game Flow :: 

This game has a low total of 40.5 because the G-men are sporting an ugly 15.25 team total. That makes sense since they have scored a pathetic 10/13/9/21/6 points in their last five games. The Giants are unlikely to keep up, and that drags down the entire game environment. That most likely game flow is the Eagles come out running their up-tempo offense right down the Giants throat, before pumping the breaks and sucking the life out of the game in the second half. The Giants did manage to win the last meeting but that was at home with Daniel Jones still playing, in a game where the Eagles were flat.


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Tributaries ::

DFS+ Interpretation ::

By Alex88 >>

OVERVIEW

  • Second lowest total in Week 16
  • NYG’s implied total of 15.25 is the lowest on the week
  • PHI’s implied total of 25.25 is the seventh highest
  • 10 point spread is tied for the third largest
  • NYG is 2-4 in their past six games, scoring fewer than 24 pts in each one
  • PHI is 4-2 in their past six games, scoring 24+ pts in all but one game (7-13 loss to NYG)
  • NYG’s 17 ppg is the third lowest in the league
  • Per numberFire, NYG ranks 16th in adjusted seconds per play (29.5) and 15th in adjusted pass rate (59.3%)
  • PHI ranks 18th in adjusted seconds per play (29.7) and 31st in adjusted pass rate (50.6%)

NYG QBs

  • Head coach Joe Judge has declined to declare a starter between Jake Fromm and Mike Glennon, as of Thursday night
  • Among all QBs this season, Glennon ranks 62nd in PFF passing grade
  • Fromm ranks 14th (albeit with only 13 dropbacks)
  • Last week, Glennon threw 24 times for just 99 yards and three INTs
  • PHI ranks eighth in DK ppg allowed to QBs (18.3)
  • Notable opposing QB scores: Dak Prescott 21.12 // Zach Wilson 22.04 // Derek Carr 23.02 // Trevor Siemian 26.16 // Patrick Mahomens 32.72 // Justin Herbert 34.64

NYG Passing Attack

  • Snap share: Evan Engram 64.8% // Kenny Golladay 56.9% // Darius Slayton 47.6% // Kyle Rudolph 46.5% // Sterling Shepard 37.8% // Kadarius Toney 28.8%
  • Target share: Engram 12% // Golladay 12% // Shepard 10.5% // Slayton 9.9% // Toney 9.5% // Rudolph 6.1%
  • Shepard is lost for the season, vacating 7.6 targets per game
  • Toney has been reactivated from the COVID list
  • The last time Toney played when Shepard was absent, Toney led the team with 12 targets
  • Golladay’s averaging 5.5 targets per game and hasn’t scored 20 DK pts since Week 4
  • His DK salary range has been $4,800 – $5,700 ($5,300 in Week 16)
  • Slayton’s averaging 4.5 targets per game and hasn’t scored 20 DK pts since Week 5…of 2020
  • His DK salary range has been $3,800 – $4,900 ($4,200 in Week 16)
  • Toney’s averaging 5.3 targets per game and hasn’t scored 20 DK pts since Week 5
  • His DK salary range has been $3,000 – $5,600 ($4,900 in Week 16)
  • PHI ranks third in DK ppg allowed to WRs (29.1)
  • Four opposing WRs have scored 20+ vs. PHI: Elijah Moore 20.6 // Antonio Brown 24.3 // Keenan Allen 25.4 // Tyreek Hill 50.6
  • Engram is averaging 5.1 targets per game
  • Rudolph’s averaging 2.4 targets per game
  • Engram has four double digit scores in 12 games: 10.1 @ MIA // 10.4 vs. CAR // 10.5 @ KC // 12.8 vs. LV
  • His DK salary range has been $3,000 – $3,900 ($3,400 in Week 16)
  • Rudolph hasn’t scored double digit DK pts all season
  • PHI ranks 32nd in DK ppg allowed to TEs (17.6)
  • Notable opposing TE scores: Albert Okwuegbunam 10.7 // Jared Cook 10.8 // Noah Fant 10.9 // Donald Parham 12.9 // Adam Trautman 16.8 // OJ Howard 16.9 // Foster Moreau 18 // TJ Hockenson 18.9 // Dalton Schultz 26

NYG RBs

  • Snap share: Devontae Booker 46.3% // Saquon Barkley 46.3%
  • Target share: Barkley 10.1% // Booker 7.1%
  • Touches per game: Barkley 15.2 // Booker 11.2
  • Barkley’s averaging 12.8 DK ppg
  • His DK salary debuted at $7,800 in Week 1
  • It fell to a low of $6,000 in Week 14
  • He’s scored 4x his Week 16 salary ($6,500) once this season
  • Booker’s averaging 9.6 DK ppg
  • His DK salary debuted at $4,000 in Week 1
  • It rose to a high of $5,900 in Week 9
  • He’s scored 4x his Week 16 salary ($4,900) once this season
  • PHI ranks 23rd in DK ppg allowed to RBs (25.5)
  • Notable opposing RB scores: Chuba Hubbard 21.4 // CEH 22.4 // Ezekiel Elliott 26.6 // Leonard Fournette 30.7

Jalen Hurts

  • Ranks 16th in PFF passing grade
  • Averaging 10 rushes per game (second most) for 56.4 yards (second most) and 0.8 rushing TDs (second most)
  • His 23 DK ppg ranks sixth
  • DK salary debuted at $6,400 in Week 1
  • It rose to a high of $7,300 in Week 12
  • He’s scored 4x his Week 16 salary ($6,400) five times: 26 vs. TB // 28.76 @ ATL // 29.64 vs. WAS // 30.78 vs. NO // 31.18 vs. KC
  • NYG ranks 17th in DK ppg allowed to QBs (19)
  • Notable opposing QB scores: Teddy Bridgewater 20.46 // Tom Brady 23.28 // Taylor Heinicke 24.04 // Justin Herbert 24.9 // Dak Prescott 25.68 // Matthew Stafford 26.24

PHI Passing Attack

  • Snap share: Devonta Smith 85.5% // Quez Watkins 74.4% // Dallas Goedert 71.1% // Jalen Reagor 68%
  • Target share: Smith 20.2% // Goedert 13.8% // Reagor 11.4% // Watkins 11.4%
  • Among qualified WRs, Smith ranks 25th in target share, 15th in air yard market share, and 19th in WOPR (per Koalaty Stats)
  • His DK salary debuted at $4,500 in Week 1
  • It rose to a high of $6,400 in Week 11
  • He’s scored 4x his Week 16 salary ($6,000) once this season: 25.6 vs. LAC
  • Reagor’s DK salary range is $3,000 – $4,700 ($3,100 in Week 16)
  • He’s scored 4x his Week 16 salary once this season: 16.9 @ ATL
  • Watkins’s DK salary range is $3,000 – $4,000 ($3,800 in Week 16)
  • He’s scored double digits just once this season: 16.7 vs. SF
  • NYG ranks 21st in DK ppg allowed to WRs (36.7)
  • Notable opposing WR scores: Mike Evans 20.3 // Tyreek Hill 27.4 // Terry McLaurin 30.7 // Cooper Kupp 37
  • Among qualified TEs, Goedert ranks ninth in target share, ninth in air yard market share, and ninth in WOPR
  • His 11.8 DK ppg ranks eighth
  • DK salary range is $4,400 – $5,300 ($5,100 in Week 16)
  • He’s scored 4x his Week 16 salary twice: 23.5 vs. WAS // 31.5 @ NYJ
  • NYG ranks 19th in DK ppg allowed to TEs (13.5)
  • Notable opposing TE scores: Noah Fant 12.2 // Gronk 13.1 // Dalton Schultz 13.9 // Darren Waller 16.2 // Schultz 20.7

PHI RBs

  • Snap share: Miles Sanders 55.9% // Kenneth Gainwell 28.6% // Jordan Howard 18.9%
  • Target share: Gainwell 10.1% // Sanders 7.2% // Howard 0%
  • Touches per game: Sanders 14.1 // Howard 13.2 // Gainwell 6.4
  • Sanders is averaging 10.8 DK ppg
  • His DK salary range is $5,000 – $6,900 ($5,600 in Week 16)
  • He’s hit 20+ DK pts just once this season: 20.2 @ NYJ in Week 13
  • Howard is averaging 10.5 DK ppg
  • His DK salary range is $4,000 – $4,900 ($4,300 in Week 16)
  • He’s scored double digit DK pts twice this season: 13.1 vs. LAC in Week 9 // 17.7 @ DET in Week 8
  • Gainwell is averaging 8 DK ppg
  • His DK salary range is $4,000 – $5,000 ($4,700 in Week 16)
  • He’s scored 4x his Week 16 salary twice this year: 19.7 @ NYJ in Week 13 // 20.9 vs. KC in Week 4
  • NYG ranks 25th in DK ppg allowed to RBs (26.5)
  • Four opposing RBs have scored 20+ DK pts vs. NYG: JD McKissic 20.3 // Melvin Gordon 23.8 // Darrell Henderson 24.7 // Ezekiel Elliott 28.2