Kickoff Sunday, Oct 13th 1:00pm Eastern

Texans (
22) at

Patriots (
15.5)

Over/Under 37.5

Tweet
Notes

Game Overview ::

By papy324 >>
  • The notable injuries on the Texans side of the ball are Joe Mixon (DNP), Dameon Pierce (DNP), Laremy Tunsil (DNP), Robert Woods (DNP), and Nico Collins who was placed on IR.
  • The Patriots only notable DNP to start the week was Rhamondre Stevenson with an ankle.
  • The Texans have a high powered offense in the public’s mind, but they’ve been winning on defense and just lost Nico Collins for at least the next four weeks.
  • Dare Ogunbowale played twice as many snaps as Cam Akers last week. He was given 22 opportunities, including seven targets.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson and Antonio Gibson split snaps directly down the middle last week.
  • Drake Maye will make his first career start.
  • Ja’Lynn Polk played 100% of the snaps last week.

How houston Will Try To Win ::

The 4-1 Texans come into Week 6 having earned the second best record in the AFC. They beat the 3-2 Bills in dramatic fashion, hitting a 59-yard field goal as time expired. That win might have big implications in the playoffs since there is a good chance both the Texans and Bills will be contenders. C.J. Stroud continued to look like the real deal, throwing for 331 yards to eight different receivers. Stroud managed to get it done even though Nico Collins left the game early with a hamstring injury which will sideline him for several weeks. Collins’ injury is a big loss, but even so, DeMeco Ryans must be pleased with the start of the season. Ryans has spent his career on the defensive side of the ball, and he’s left the offense in the hands of Bobby Slowik. Slowik comes from the 49ers and has installed his own version of the Shanahan offense.  The Texans are deliberate (21st in pace), which tells how they want to play since all four of their wins have been one-score games. The Texans throw more than average (11th in PROE), but as it has been all season, that stat is misleading. They have a slightly negative PROE value, but this year that’s good for the top half of the league in PROE. The Texans are a balanced offense that might be generally overrated in many people’s minds as they are 21st in overall DVOA.

When the Texans take to the air, they’ve been middling (16th in DVOA) but that ranking is also misleading since they have a highly positive passing game DVOA value. 24 teams have a positive passing game DVOA value on the season while only 10 teams have a positive running game DVOA value. Interestingly, most teams seem to be better at passing but offensive coordinators are choosing overwhelmingly to run. The Texans have struggled on the ground (26th in DVOA), which makes sense since they’ve had backup-level play at running back since Joe Mixon went down. The Patriots have been hurt through the air (28th in DVOA), and on the ground (25th in DVOA) and are feeling the sting of letting Bill Belichick leave on the defensive side of the ball. The Patriots pass rush has also been below average (20th in sack percentage), while allowing a lot of yards (24th in yards allowed per game), making them a below average unit across the board. Expect the Texans to come out in their preferred balanced style, seeing what works, while hoping to build a lead and cruise to a comfortable victory.

How new england Will Try To Win ::

<< Add Access >>

OWS FREE

(No CC Required)