Broncos (

15.75) at
Jets (

23.75)

Game Overview ::

By papy324 >>

• The main notable on the injury report for the Broncos is ILB Alex Singleton, who led the team in tackles the past two seasons. His loss makes their run defense significantly weaker. On the Jets side, their main notable injury is OT Morgan Moses with a knee.
• Aaron Rodgers is running his typical slow-paced offense.
• The Broncos are running Sean Payton’s balanced, RB-target-heavy offense.
• The Jets are using Breece Hall as a lead back, but Braelon Allen is playing enough to have become a problem for Hall’s ceiling.
• The Broncos seem irritated with the performance of Jamal Williams and Jaleel McLaughlin. They added Tyler Badie to the active roster after he looked like the best back last week.
• Garrett Wilson is the focal point of the Jets passing attack, but he has a tough matchup and might draw shadow coverage from Patrick Surtain.
• Box Nix is very cheap. He’s an interesting tournament play paired with Courtland Sutton.

How denver Will Try To Win ::

The 1-2 Broncos come into Week 4 after putting a surprise 26-7 beatdown on a Bucs team that had looked like a contender through the first two weeks. The NFL is a variance-filled world, and it’s best to remember that the teams are usually all closer in ability than we think. “Any given Sunday” is a saying for a reason. After last week’s win, the Broncos look a little underrated, sitting at 1-2, with a point differential of plus six, having lost against two teams who are a combined 6-0. They lost a close 13-6 game to the Steelers in Week Two and a tough 26-20 game to Seattle in Week One. It wouldn’t take much of a change for the Broncos to be the shocking 3-0 team of the year, but instead, they look below average at first glance. Denver’s defense deserves much of the credit for their early season success, having held their first three opponents to a combined 46 points.

Sean Payton is known for his offense, and this year’s rendition has been a mixed bag. They are playing on the quick side (11th in seconds per play) and throwing at a relatively high rate (7th in pass rate over expectations). It’s worth noting that their PROE being in the top 10 in the league is a bit misleading. They’re only throwing slightly more than would be expected, but passing is down so much across the league that they are throwing at a relatively high rate compared to everyone else. One thing is clear: Payton is going to win or lose with Bo Nix; there are no training wheels this year. Helping Nix has been the play of Denver’s O-line. They’ve been better than expected (11th ranked by PFF) and surrendered just five pressures, with no sacks last week, on 40 pass attempts. They’re going to need to hold up against a Jets pass rush that has been fierce (1st in sack percentage) to start the year. To be fair, the Jets’ sack numbers are aided by their seven-sack performance last week against a Patriots O-line (32nd ranked by PFF) who can’t block anyone. The Jets have been hurt on the ground (25th in yards allowed per rush), and Payton is savvy enough to attack his opponent’s weakness. The Broncos are always balanced, but they are more likely to try and run the ball early in the game, hoping to keep things close before securing a late victory.

How new york Will Try To Win ::