Kickoff Sunday, Dec 22nd 1:00pm Eastern

Giants (
16.5) at

Falcons (
26)

Over/Under 42.5

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Notes

Game Overview ::

By hilow >>
  • The Falcons remain relatively healthy for this stage of the season but they did have two role players limited Thursday in tight ends Ross Dwelley (ankle) and Charlie Woerner (quad).
  • The Giants had 21 (!!!) players on the injury report Thursday, most notably LBs Brian Burns (DNP, ankle/neck) and Bobby Okereke (DNP, back), QBs Tommy DeVito (limited, concussion) and Drew Lock (full, heel/elbow), RB Tyrone Tracy (limited, ankle), and WR Malik Nabers (full, knee/foot).
  • These two teams likely represent the two teams with the worst quarterback situations in the league at present. Drew Lock appears set to start for the Giants while Michael Penix makes his first professional start for the fading Falcons.

How new york Will Try To Win ::

The Giants have entered full-on evaluation mode with their season long lost, ranking near the middle of the pack in pass rate over expectation over the previous four weeks of play (15th). Losers of nine straight, the Giants have utilized three quarterbacks during the previous month of play while attempting (from most recent) 37 passes against the Ravens, 49 passes against the Saints, 32 passes against the Cowboys, and 32 passes against the Buccaneers. It is clear they would prefer to not have to sling the football around the yard based on their PROE data, but consistently negative game environments have placed them in that position more frequently than not.

Rookie running back Tyrone Tracy continues to serve as the “lead back plus” in this offense but has been the victim of increasingly negative game environments, seeing more than a modest 14 opportunities just once in the previous four games (his 10-target game against the Saints in which Giants quarterbacks combined to attempt 49 passes). He has seen his salary trickle down during that stretch but it took the 10 targets to have him sniff a 4x salary multiplier in that span. Devin Singletary remains on hand to soak up change of pace opportunities. The Falcons have functioned as a demi-pass-funnel matchup while allowing 1.80 yards before contact per attempt, 4.3 yards per carry, and 17.8 fantasy points per game to opposing backfields.

Wan’Dale Robinson has 111 targets this season – lolz. I’m not sure if any receiver has done less with more than 100 targets in recent memory. Robinson’s season-high in DK points stands at 18.1, while seeing eight or more targets in nine of 14 games. That is impressive(ly bad). He has hit double-digit fantasy points once in his last nine games. Darius Slayton has not seen more than six targets in the previous five games. No Giants tight end has seen more than seven targets all season. That effectively leaves rookie wide receiver Malik Nabers as the only player capable of returning a usable fantasy score through the air outside of fluky variance (we’ve targeted that fluky variance once or twice this season through Slayton, but man, this quarterback situation is currently the worst in the league – okay, maybe the Falcons would have something to say about that). Nabers has seen seven or more targets in every game as a professional, seeing double-digit targets in nine of 12 healthy games. And yet, Week 15 against the Ravens was the first time since before he got injured that he scored more than 15.3 DK points (Week 4).

How Atlanta Will Try To Win ::

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