Kickoff Sunday, Nov 26th 4:25pm Eastern

Bills (
22.75) at

Eagles (
25.75)

Over/Under 48.5

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Notes

Key Matchups
Bills Run D
18th DVOA/28th Yards allowed per carry
Eagles Run O
6th DVOA/12th Yards per carry
Bills Pass D
9th DVOA/5th Yards allowed per pass
Eagles Pass O
7th DVOA/11th Yards per pass
Eagles Run D
19th DVOA/21st Yards allowed per carry
Bills Run O
5th DVOA/9th Yards per carry
Eagles Pass D
28th DVOA/13th Yards allowed per pass
Bills Pass O
3rd DVOA/7th Yards per pass

Game Overview ::

By mike jOHNSON >>
  • The “Game of the Week” features two high-profile offenses coming off big wins.
  • Buffalo enters this game fresh off its dismantling of the Jets, which was the Bills’ first 30-point offensive performance since Week 4.
  • The Bills are in the thick of the AFC playoff race and have a brutal remaining schedule.
  • The Eagles are in the middle of the hardest part of their schedule as well, coming off the Chiefs game and facing the 49ers and Cowboys over the next two weeks.
  • Philadelphia’s running game and Buffalo’s passing game are in great spots to succeed this week.

How buffalo Will Try To Win ::

The Bills offense responded to the firing of Ken Dorsey with one of their better performances in the last few weeks. Facing a tough Jets defense, the Bills dropped 32 points and accumulated nearly 400 yards from scrimmage. Josh Allen was sharp and only turned the ball over once, while Buffalo’s running backs combined for nearly 200 yards from scrimmage as they avoided a New York secondary that is strongest on the perimeter. There were several plays that were extremely well designed and provided a possible glimpse into a more creative and difficult-to-defend Bills offense we may see for the latter half of the season.

This week, Buffalo faces an Eagles defense that has been terrific against the run this year but has been burned repeatedly through the air. Last week against the Chiefs, they handled themselves well, but that is not the same KC team we have seen in the past, and they will have their hands full this week against Buffalo. Rookie tight end Dalton Kincaid and Buffalo’s running backs took the lead last week against the Jets, as the focus was on the short middle of the field and taking advantage of the Jets linebackers in coverage. Khalil Shakir has emerged as the clear-cut third wide receiver for the Bills as well and had a monster game in Week 11, giving Buffalo a legitimately scary arsenal of weapons with their top offensive personnel on the field. This week, the Eagles secondary will likely be tested by the Bills, as Buffalo enters Week 12 ranked fifth in the NFL in pass rate over expectation (PROE), near the top of the league in average depth of target, and playing at one of the quickest situation-neutral paces – especially in games with significant offensive threats on the other side. Philadelphia faces the league’s highest opponent pass rate and the Bills are likely to totally air it out in this one, either by design or necessity. When they do so, Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis are going to have the opportunity to make some big plays down the field, as the Eagles have given up some big plays on several occasions this year. Just last week, they would have lost if Marquez Valdes-Scantling had caught a ball in his hands on the last drive of the game. Don’t expect Philadelphia to get bailed out by mistakes from this high-powered Buffalo receiving corps in Week 12.

How PHILADELPHIA Will Try To Win ::

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