Game Overview ::
By papy324 >>
- The notable injuries for the Jets are Breece Hall (DNP) with a knee, OG Alijah Vera-Tucker (DNP) with an ankle, OT Morgan Moses (LP) with a wrist, and CB D.J. Reed (LP) with a groin.
- The most notable injury for the Jags is Evan Engram (DNP) with a shoulder issue.
- Aaron Rodgers is generously priced and draws the weakest secondary in the league.
- Braelon Allen and Isaiah Davis split the backfield down the middle last week, both getting 16 opportunities.
- Garrett Wilson and Davante Adams accounted for 66% of Rodgers’ passing yards last week.
- Mac Jones has scored under 10 DK points in three out of four of his starts.
- Travis Etienne and Tank Bigsby have split snaps evenly over the past two weeks.
- Brian Thomas Jr. looks like he’ll be a star, but he gets a tough matchup with a sup-par QB.
How new york Will Try To Win ::
The 3-10 Jets come into Week 15 having been mathematically eliminated from the playoffs for the 11th straight season. The longest playoff drought in the NFL continues and the Jets season ranks among the most disappointing in the league. After going all in to try and reach the Superbowl behind Aaron Rodgers, the Jets have barely been able to win a game. What went wrong? It’s hard to pinpoint a single issue, but the most obvious problem is their 1-7 record in one-score games. The Jets have a negative 49-point differential, whereas for comparison the other five teams with a 3-10 record have a negative 155 // 115 // 107 // 103 // 86-point differential. The truth of the NFL is that most of the teams are relatively evenly matched. Each team’s record is a bounce of the ball, a play here, a yard there, away from being different. That’s not to say the Jets have played well but it does keep in perspective that they probably aren’t as bad as their 3-10 record. There is a lot of talent on both sides of the ball on the Jets roster, and even Rodgers (who hasn’t played to his usual standard) is still on pace to throw for well over 3,000 yards, with a respectable TD:INT ratio. If you take out the five picks Rodgers threw against the Vikings/Steelers, which are the two best defenses in the league, his numbers look even better. Rodgers and the Jets haven’t lived up to expectations but they also aren’t as far away as most people think.
Nathaniel “can’t” Hackett is officially the Jets offensive coordinator. Another nepotism coach, Hackett isn’t very good at his job but he is close friends with Rodgers, and the Jets fired Robert Saleh for suggesting the team move on from Rodgers’ buddy. Despite that, the organization acknowledged that Hackett stinks and turned over play-calling duties to QB coach Todd Downing. It’s unclear what exactly Hackett does, we can only assume he whispers sweet nothings into Rodgers ear in the huddle. The Jets play at a below-average pace (19th in seconds per play), which is quick for how Rodgers-led teams have historically operated. They probably want to play slower but when you’re always losing it’s tough to chew the clock. The Jets have been leaning into the pass (4th in PROE) but their PROE value is still only a positive 2%, which wouldn’t have ranked in the top five in any of the past three seasons. The Jets revamped their offense line in the off-season, but they’ve been stung by injuries that have caused them to underperform (16th ranked by PPF), and RT Morgan Moses exited with an injury midway through last week’s game. Fortunately, they’re playing the Jags lackluster pass rush (30th in sack percentage). Speaking of the Jags defense, it has been the worst in the league (32nd ranked overall in DVOA). They are below average against the run (18th in DVOA) and have been smashed by the pass (32nd in DVOA). It makes sense to throw against the Jags, and the Jets have been favoring the pass so unless someone lets Hackett call the plays again, it’s reasonable to assume the Jets will come out throwing. Expect a pass-heavy game plan, with the Jets looking to salvage something from a lost season.
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