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Relative Value Breakdown 3.22

Dwprix is a research expert at OWS, with focuses on NFL Edge Matchups and the Relative Value Breakdown

Better Play on Draftkings or Fanduel?

There are several things we can look at to figure out if a player is a better value on Draftkings vs Fanduel. This is important because we may want to roster a certain player but might be unsure where our money would be best spent rostering them. 

One exercise we can do is compare the amount of salary that’s needed to roster a player on Draftkings vs the salary needed to roster the same player on FanDuel. This is done by dividing the salary on one site by the total amount of salary allowed to build your roster (DK $50k, FD $60k). Then we can take the percentage of the total salary on one site and subtract it from the percentage of total salary on the other site. We can also look at the scoring rule differences and what type of player would be best suited for that particular site. Lastly, we can check how the players points per dollar value based on their average in recent games compared to their salary in a given week.

The goal of the article is not to give you picks but to show you how to recognize these values on your own. Each week I’ll break down a few players and give you some quick hitters that you can explore further.

Week 3

Jalen Hurts: FD $8.1k, 13.5% // DK $7.6k 15.2%, // Value on FD

Hurts is the fifth highest priced QB on FD and fourth highest priced on DK. Rushing QBs can be more valuable on FD because there’s no 300 yard passing bonus. Based on his average production this season, he’s scored 3.6x his Week 3 salary. Only Lamar Jackson and Tua Tagovailoa have a higher salary multiplier based on their average on Fanduel.

Curtis Samuel:  FD $6.3k, 10.5% // DK $5.1k, 10.2% // Value on DK

Samuel is the 28th highest priced receiver on Fanduel but he’s only the 40th on Draftkings. He has the highest value of any WR based on his point-per-game average this season and his Week 3 price (4.2x) He also takes up a lower percentage of salary on Draftkings.

Jonathan Taylor: FD $9.4k, 15.7% // DK $9.0k, 18% // Value on FD

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