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Within the Scroll each week, we will share our early week bets and the thesis behind them. Our hopes are that this article will help the OWS Fam become better prop bettors as we teach you to fish.
Caution: Odds in the prop’s streets move fast, and it is likely these odds will have changed by the time you read this. With that in mind, we have left a “good to” mark to help you decide if the bet is for you.
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He’s going to have a great career but so far his catch rate is under 50%. He also has a date with a solid Packers pass defense that’s expected to see top cornerback Jaire Alexander return – Arizona has also been a very low volume pass offense with just 138 total pass attempts in 5 games.
The bet is good to: -114
He’s a rookie tight end in an at best so-so passing offense who has 13 targets in 5 games. Yeah, Nabers is out, but this feels like a dramatic overreaction to him having 1 good game – meanwhile he had 2 catches for 31 yards in the other 4 games combined.
The bet is good to: -120
Keenan has not been super involved in this passing offense – he has 81 total receiving yards in 3 games. The matchup here is good, but it was also really good against the Rams and Panthers and he flopped against them. He’s being used in a very short area role which means he has to rack up a bunch of volume to hit. With how bad the Jags have been, I could see Chicago’s defense just controlling this game as they often have been and limiting Bears offensive play volume (Caleb has under 30 pass attempts in all of the Bears wins so far).
The bet is good to: -125
