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Within the Scroll each week, we will share our early week bets and the thesis behind them. Our hopes are that this article will help the OWS Fam become better prop bettors as we teach you to fish.
Caution: Odds in the prop’s streets move fast, and it is likely these odds will have changed by the time you read this. With that in mind, we have left a “good to” mark to help you decide if the bet is for you.
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Like the receptions u2.5 to about -135, but this ones already getting hit. TL;DR his snaps are trending in the wrong direction and he only has 7 targets on the season.
The bet is good to: -130
Worthy’s an explosive player but he’s also seen 11 targets on the season – hard to get 4 catches on 3-4 targets per game, and it’s somewhat hard to see the Chargers (especially if they’re missing Herbert, but even with him) really pressing the Chiefs. – we get some game script outs, too.
The bet is good to: -155
Good matchup, big home favorite, this feels like too big of a Braelon Allen discount…Allen’s good but Breece’s role still feels safe, Allen mostly getting extra work in late up big/extra run situations.
The bet is good until over 70.5 yards at low juice
The 49ers just have not used Mason as a receiver – despite playing massive snaps, he only has 4 targets on the season for a total of 20 receiving yards. And, Kittle should be back, giving San Francisco another viable passing game weapon. Honestly, this line doesn’t make much sense at all to me.
The bet is good to: -130 or 8.5 at modest juice
Dalton is a pocket passer who doesn’t run unless he’s being chased or there’s a WIDE open lane. The Bengals D doesn’t generate a lot of pressure, so it’s unlikely he’s being chased. When we last saw Dalton play regularly in 2022 he covered this line in 3/14 starts – I hate super small lines like this that can easily be blown up by 1 play, but this would hit well over 50% of the time if we played this game out 100 times.
The bet is good to: -135
