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Within the Scroll each week, we will share our early week bets and the thesis behind them. Our hopes are that this article will help the OWS Fam become better prop bettors as we teach you to fish.
Caution: Odds in the prop’s streets move fast, and it is likely these odds will have changed by the time you read this. With that in mind, we have left a “good to” mark to help you decide if the bet is for you.
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We like Maye in this environment to go over this mark. He has done so in 3 of the last 5 and the 2 times he’s missed would have been expected. The next best is over 20.5 completions -128 CZ/DK, -128 FD. Maye finds himself in a positive matchup for completions and yards. You can consider splitting this .5U each, but official tracking will be o217.5 passing.
The bet is good to: -130
Pacheco came back from injury and had 7 carries, then 14 last week. One assumes his role this week will be at least as strong as last week. He had 15 and 19 carries in the first 2 weeks of the season before getting hurt, so that’s what we should think a “full” role for him looks like – he may not be at “full” yet but he should be very close based on last week’s usage.
The bet is good to: -130
Vikings face the highest opposing passing play percentage at 64.8%, so if the Bears run just ~50 plays Caleb should be a favorite to go over here. QBs against the Vikings have beaten this line in all but 4 games, Caleb threw 47 times against them a few weeks ago.
The bet is good to: -130
