JMToWin is a high-stakes tournament champion (Thunderdome, Luxury Box, Game Changer, Wildcat) who is focusing this year on single-entry/three-entry max
This is, instead, a look at the player pool I’ll be fishing
:: covered in-depth in the Angles Pod (it’s highly recommended that you listen to the breakdown of the roster in order to see the thinking behind it, and in order to understand what we’re talking about when we look at a “bottom-up build”)
:: my “Tier 1” plays: the plays I feel confident leaning into across different types of builds; these players have a high ceiling and a low likelihood of price-considered failure
:: games, offenses, situations, or scenarios I’ll be looking to build around across my rosters
:: unique player pairings that can be used as foundational building blocks for tournament rosters
:: players who don’t fit into the categories above — either Upside pieces who don’t have the floor to be Blue Chips (and are not being focused on within my game-focused builds) or players who may not have a strong shot at ceiling, but are worth keeping in mind from a “role” perspective
Permanent Price Bump coming at the end of Week 2!
Lock in the lower price for life!
Full breakdown (of what this is, and what the thinking is behind these players) can (and should) be found in the Angles Pod (above).
Tom Brady
Jeff Wilson
Raheem Mostert
Justin Jefferson
Chris Godwin
Khalil Shakir
Cade Otton
Zay Jones
Cowboys
Buy-In:
Free
Rules:
Build with a salary cap of $44k or below!
Prizes:
150 Edge Points (good for two free DFS Education courses!) + ‘Discord Blue’ color in Discord!
No individual spot or player qualifies as a “Blue Chip” for me this week. Let’s jump to the “Light Blues” >>
New this year: these are unique player pairings that can be used as foundational building blocks for tournament rosters
“The Bills’ offense produces, with limited weaponry available”
Explain this one to me. As of this writeup, Josh Allen is projected to be the highest-owned quarterback on the slate, at 18.9%. Meanwhile, the combined ownership of Stefon Diggs, Gabe Davis, Isaiah McKenzie, Khalil Shakir, and Dawson Knox is 16.0%.
Dawson Knox is not going to play this weekend (he’s currently projected at 3.0% ownership, which will obviously fall to 0), and McKenzie appears unlikely to clear his concussion. This gives us a more condensed target distribution for the Bills than we typically have, with Diggs // Davis // Shakir the likely focal points through the air. It is unbelievably rare for a high-priced quarterback — even one with mega rushing upside — to be “the quarterback who wins you a tourney” and to not bring at least one pass catcher with him, and the fact that we have a weekend in which the field is apparently willing to bet on that unlikely scenario (“Josh Allen smashes; no Bills pass catchers are worth rostering with him”) gives us a really nice edge, both in playing Bills pass catchers as one-offs independent of Allen rosters, and in stacking up some Bills pieces with Allen.
To be honest, I would be fine stacking up any of Singletary // Davis // Shakir with Allen (you could add Diggs to this list as well — though you know where I stand on him as a DFS option in this offense), but the pricing with Shakir added to this build makes it very attractive.
The story plays out differently, and you don’t get first place — which is really all that matters.
“The Eagles keep doing what they’ve been doing…and the Cardinals keep doing what they’ve been doing”
This stack is something of a “last in line” option for ways to stack this game — and it makes a lot more sense as a “top option” from this game than most people will realize
Remember when Davante Adams was 50% owned against Arizona and put up two catches for 12 yards? Total fluke, obviously…but then, remember one week later when Cooper Kupp went 4-44-0 against Arizona? And remember how Kupp has failed to top 90 yards in only two of his 21 regular season games with Matthew Stafford(!!!)…and how the other game in which he failed to top 90 yards was a 5-64-0 outing on 13 targets against the Cardinals last year? Meanwhile, remember how Travis Kelce destroyed the Cardinals in Week 1, and everyone was like, “Yup, this is clearly the worst defense in the NFL.” And then remember how Darren Waller went 6-50-1 against them for his best fantasy score of the season? And how Higbee chipped in 4-61-0 against the Cardinals in Week 3? Arizona ranks 11th in DVOA against the run, and they have quietly allowed the seventh-fewest WR yards after allowing a respectable 13th-fewest last season. I don’t think this defense is good, but I do think it’s better than people realize (which isn’t a high bar to clear, given that most people are looking at this defense as the legitimate worst in the league).
The Eagles are a special team at the moment, and I would be fine trusting this Philly offense in any way you want to stack things up; but Hurts + Goedert makes plenty of sense on a week in which the field will be looking toward other potential pathways for this game to take off.
The story plays out differently, and you don’t get first place — which is really all that matters.
This is my narrowest pool, which means it’s the pool likeliest to change a bit as I move deeper into builds. If it changes throughout Saturday night, I’ll add an update in this space.
If I were building for single-entry // three-entry Max, my tightened-up player pool would be:
Josh Allen || Jalen Hurts || Justin Herbert || Tom Brady || Teddy Bridgewater || (Carson Wentz)
I’ll see you at the top of the leaderboards this weekend!
-JM
