Larejo is a mid-stakes tournament mastermind who specializes in outmaneuvering 150-max players with a small number of entries
Take your expectations for Week 2 and lower them. That’s your first move this week. Your next move should be going back to your initial thoughts at the outset of the week in looking at this upcoming slate. What games jumped out at you? Matchups? Players? Who did you think would bounce back from a poor Week 1 performance? Who did you think would continue his poor or great play?
I say all of this to stress that this week’s slate looks low scoring . . . again. So, when you get set up in building lineups this week (you computer warrior you), feel free to take what the slate is giving to you. Even if it’s not that much. With low totals all around, we should take our expectations and lower them, take our projections and lower those as well, and instead of forcing our action, look at where points are likely going to come from and dive right in. And when a slate sets up like this, with all the DFS training you already have, your initial reactions were likely the best ones ya got to work with.
It’s not that you can’t game stack an environment like the Giants and Cardinals, Colts and Texans, or Bears and Bucs, it’s just that the projected outcomes here are so razor thin to hit a tournament-winning player block. So, like last week we can again look to correlate with smaller groups to hope the volume funnels through them instead of betting on that 70+ point outcome.
Week 2 is fascinating to me. It’s probably the most fun week of the season, to be honest. You have all this reacting and overreacting to Week 1’s results, while we’re all simultaneously trying to not be too early nor too late on players and teams this season. In my opinion, many of us lose our DFS identity during this week. We studied many of these guys for weeks in the summer preparing for Best Ball and Season-long drafts. Then Week 1 happened, and now we’re second-guessing ourselves, our rosters, and our strategies. Don’t do this. You know ball. And better yet, you know what first-place tournament lineups look like. And better, better yet, you have access to the Bink Machine (if you don’t, stop reading and do this now). Build lineups this week with the same confidence you had in Week 1.
