Thursday, Dec 12th

Willing To Lose 12.24

Larejo is a mid-stakes tournament mastermind who specializes in outmaneuvering 150-max players with a small number of entries

What is the right formula for a winning lineup? We’re all searching for it each week. It’s out there, and with all the information at our disposal each week, you’d think we’d all hit the right balance more often. The challenge is, of course, the variance and unpredictability that ensues in every game every week. We can’t account for that, but as we always say, we can account for the fact that variance will come, meaning we should rarely look at a lineup and feel perfectly comfortable about it.

It’s Week 12, we’re about to head into the holiday season and you’ve read a lot of words this season so I’m keeping this upfront piece brief. On this slate, we know the top teams who are supposed to put up points: Detroit, KC, Miami, and Washington. We know the games that are expected to draw the most eyes: Lions/Colts, 49ers/Packers, and Cardinals/Seahawks. We should have a good handle like always on where the ownership will come in. All we have to do is lean into a unique style, find the overlooked situations, and patiently wait for them to hit. Remember this week, to be you, to predict the present (using what you know) and control the chaos to find the best blend this week.

(shameless plug :: the Predicting the Present course is likely going to be available for just a few USD this coming week on the site, be on the lookout!)

Bo Nix + Courtland Sutton + Brock Bowers

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