Sunday Crunch is an Inner Circle feature that can be found on the Sunday Crunch Discord channel each week. We also post the Sunday Crunch notes in The Scroll, where non-IC members can jump into a chunk of the content each week.
Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase return to Louisiana where they each had incredible collegiate careers, setting records and winning a national championship. They will be greeted in their return by a Saints defense that has surrendered 20+ points in every game this season, including an average of 30 points per game over the past two weeks. The Saints will also be without top cornerback Marshon Lattimore and have multiple other defensive starters whose status is in question. Chase is a player that we know will have peaks and valleys due to the nature of his game, so finding a spot like this where he can erupt at a reasonable price tag is perfect for DFS tournaments. Tee Higgins is looking questionable at best heading into the week, further helping the cause of Chase’s potential target share – in the two games that Higgins left early with injury this season, Chase averaged 13 targets while averaging only 8.3 targets when Higgins plays full games. Last season we saw Joe Burrow’s monster games tied closely with Chase’s blow-ups, so stacking the two is especially wise in this spot with Burrow sure to be low-owned. You could even add Hayden Hurst to the mix, especially if Higgins is ruled out.
Aaron Jones is a player with wild spike week potential, having several games of three or four touchdowns throughout his career. Now in a home game against the Jets defense that ranks 29th in the league in yards per carry allowed and coming off his season high in snap rate, Jones is in a prime eruption spot. The Packers are coming off an ugly loss to the Giants and have a lot of reasons to force the ball into the hands of their best playmaker, especially near the goal line. Jones is underpriced on Fanduel, making him an exceptional play. On Draftkings, Jones is overpriced for what he’s done this season and with all the RB value on the slate it makes him really hard to play – but that is precisely what makes him a great tournament option at sub-3% ownership with slate-breaking potential.