Sunday Crunch is an Inner Circle feature that can be found on the Sunday Crunch Discord channel each week. We also post the Sunday Crunch notes in The Scroll, where non-IC members can jump into a chunk of the content each week.
What is it that draws large portions of the field to certain players in a given week? Usually, it is the same few things….a great matchup, a low salary for a player’s talent, a perceived great game environment, etc. However, what these tendencies also do is leave players in perfectly fine situations with high upside overlooked. Enter Justin Jefferson. On paper, the Bears pass defense looks very solid, ranking 3rd in the NFL in yards per attempt allowed through four weeks. However, when you dig deeper you find that they have faced: Trey Lance in a monsoon, Aaron Rodgers with a beat-up receiving corps, Davis Mills, and Daniel Jones/Tyrod Taylor. Kirk Cousins gets a lot of heat for flopping in primetime, but home games against poor teams are where he thrives. Dalvin Cook should be fairly popular and Jefferson appears to be going overlooked. Add to that the fact that the Bears will be without their top corner, and we could be in store for a multi-”Griddy” game from Jefferson.
Nick Chubb has averaged 4.9 yards per carry or more in every game this season and is facing a Chargers team that has conceded the 3rd most yards per carry in the NFL this season and has given up 50-plus yard touchdown runs in consecutive games. At this point, Chubb is basically Derrick Henry from a couple of years ago as a running back who has a high price and doesn’t catch many passes, which keeps his ownership down. This week he has the highest chances of a 30+ point fantasy game of any running back, however.