Mike Johnson (MJohnson86) has racked up nearly $500,000 in DFS profit as an NFL tournament player with success in all styles of contests
Salary constraints always make “searching for value” an important topic for DFS players. When we are able to find players at lower prices than the roles they will be in, we can often open up the upside of our lineups. However, there is a tipping point where “values” become “traps” and an offense can only take so many losses before it begins to cause problems for the offense as a whole.
This week, there are three offenses that have several injury/suspension situations that has led much of the DFS industry to chase these “values” and help them fit in more “studs”. Those offenses are the Ravens, Packers, and Cardinals.
All of these situations have greater “collapse” potential than most of the field will realize, and in my opinion the “value” players are more likely to break those who use them than they are to break those who fade them.
Building off our last point, the Vikings and Chiefs defenses are both relatively cheap on all DFS sites and are sitting in great position to exploit high profile, but depleted, offenses. If everyone is clamoring over themselves to play the cheap players on the Packers and Cardinals, you gain instant leverage by betting against them when you play the opposing defense. Wheels up.