Papy is a full-time DFS player, with a focus on high-stakes tourneys, and with hundreds of thousands in lifetime profit
Welcome to Week 3 DFS! Rarely is a DFS slate so defined by one game. Chargers // Vikings is sporting a 54-point total, a full touchdown higher than the second highest games of the Broncos // Dolphins, and Bears // Chiefs at 48. After those, Falcons // Lions is sitting at 48.5, and the next highest total comes all the way down to 44. There are only three games within 10 points of the Chargers // Vikings, and it doesn’t take a deep dive to see each of them has clear paths to the downside. The Broncos offense has been a spread-out mess so far for DFS, and Tyreek Hill could see a shadow from Patrick Surtain. The Falcons // Lions game is a matchup of two of the run heaviest teams in football. Bears // Chiefs is projected to be a blowout, and the side expected to do most of the scoring (KC) is spread out behind Travis Kelce. That leaves the Chargers // Vikings, a matchup between two pass happy, fast moving, offensively talented teams who conveniently (for our purposes) sport weak defenses. Sometimes in DFS, we are faced with the question, do we do the obvious? I think in this case, the answer is yes! With that in mind, here are Week 3’s pieces!
Did the almighty algo miss that Ridder scored 22 DK points last week? Sure, he scored a rushing touchdown which isn’t always going to happen but he also carried the ball 10 times for 39 yards, and running is going to be a part of his game. Ridder ran an impressive 40-yard dash (4.52) coming out of college and there is reason to believe we haven’t seen his rushing upside fully show up. It’s not as if Ridder has been bad when asked to throw either, with his main obstacle to fantasy success being the playcalling. This game has a large range of outcomes, but many of them are a shootout, and I’ll take a running QB priced at near minimum in a high total game all day long.
