Thursday, Dec 12th

Papy’s Pieces 10.24

Papy is a full-time DFS player, with a focus on high-stakes tourneys, and with hundreds of thousands in lifetime profit

The Board
  • Week 10 has only one top-tier game as SF/TB (50.5) stands above the rest in projected scoring.
  • There is a robust six-game middle tier in ATL/NO (46.5), BUF/IND (46.5), MIN/JAX (43), PIT/WAS (45), NYJ/AZ (46.5), and PHL/Dal (43.5), all of which have a wide range of possible outcomes.
  • Three games round out the bottom tier in DEN/KC (41.5), NE/CHI (38.5), and TEN/LAC (39). All three have less than exciting game environments.
Pawn – WR Mack Hollins ($3,300)

There isn’t much value on this slate. When scouring the player list below $4,000, I was shocked at just how barren the landscape is this week. Hollins (rightfully) doesn’t sound very exciting. He saw a combined three targets between Weeks 6-8, yikes. So why am I recommending him? Injuries. Keon Coleman is set to miss this game and Amari Cooper ($5,800) looks truly questionable. Without those two, Hollins targets spiked last week (if we can call 5 targets a spike). He’s on the field a lot even without injuries and he’s been used as a red zone target. BUF/IND has one of the highest totals of the week, which gives hope that Hollins can sneak into the end zone. It’s tough to love the sight of Hollins in your lineup but if you’re looking for value, he’s your guy. Curtis Samuel ($3,300) is the same price and would also benefit from both Coleman/Cooper sitting out. If they’re both out, you can make a similar argument for Samuel, that I made for Hollins, without the locked-in playing time but with more of a chance to get the ball when he’s on the field.

Knight – WR DeAndre Hopkins ($5,300)

Hopkins was on the field for 60% of the snaps last week and saw nine targets. He turned those into an 8/86/2 line, and because it happened on Monday night his price didn’t move. Had that game been Sunday, it would have been hard to see Hopkins being priced below $6,000, even in a less than ideal matchup. Patrick Mahomes ($6,600) has not been the fantasy asset that he’s been in years past, but he’s still a great real life football player and by far the best quarterback Hopkins has ever had throwing him the ball. Hopkins is past his prime but he’s still good enough and his skill set fits well into the “Rashee Rice” role. That role is so valuable that even a washed-up JuJu Smith-Schuster managed to have a 23-point DK game. The matchup is difficult, but I’ll take my chances against the Broncos D for a guy who could see 8-10 targets from the best QB in the league for a cheap price. I’m not a huge fan of this game, which means I’ll mostly use Hopkins as a one-off to save salary on lineups that focus their main stacks elsewhere.

Bishop – QB Aaron Rodgers ($5,700)

<< 60% OFF!!! >>

Don’t play DFS without it!

Use code OWS60