This game projects to be close, and as long as it remains so, we can expect the Bengals to attack through the air (they’re at 63.11% passing play percentage on the season but 68.72% in their last three games), while Cleveland will try to slow things down and run as much as they can. As long as the game stays close, we can have a high degree of confidence in how these teams will attack, but the question is what happens if the game swings one way or another? Well, the Bengals have been extremely pass-heavy the past few games regardless of game situation, so while they would certainly skew a bit more to the run if they’re up late by multiple scores, they aren’t going to turn into turtles. The Browns will only really open things up later on, and if they’re down by more than eight points, so with that in mind, it lets us build for various scenarios smartly.
In cash games, my player pool is literally all the Bengals (they’re all underpriced except maybe Hurst and Mixon) and then I think Chubb is viable. Bryant and DPJ are viable at their prices, the kickers are always in play, and then D’Ernest Johnson would be awesome if Hunt is absent.
In tournaments, my favorite captains are Chubb, Mixon, Amari, and Boyd. Higgins is the “best” on-paper captain but I just expect him to be massively owned, so I’ll be underweight there due to the volatility of pass catchers and the high ownership.