Mike Johnson (MJohnson86) has racked up nearly $500,000 in DFS profit as an NFL tournament player with success in all styles of contests
Welcome back to my (Mjohnson86) Player Grid. The format will vary slightly from JM’s Player Grid, as we each see things slightly differently and play in slightly different contests, but should complement his thoughts and content very well for those looking to build their lineups for the week. The format of this article will likely evolve as the season progresses but should provide a lot of value. Enjoy!!
This is a list of players that stand out to me at each position from using my “Checking the Boxes” criteria outlined in my course you can find in our Marketplace. This list is a starting point, from which I build out lineups using game theory and roster construction concepts (which we will also touch on) with the mindset being to find the best plays with big ceilings. Low ownership is a bonus, but not a must. This section will focus primarily on three positions – running back, tight end, and defense – as the other two positions (quarterback and wide receiver) tend to have more dependent tendencies which I try to attack from other angles (which we will get into in the other sections). I like all of these plays on all sites unless otherwise noted:
Ekeler is one of less than a handful of running backs with a truly elite role. His pass game usage is phenomenal, with 28 targets over the last two weeks, and Mike Williams and Keenan Allen will both miss this game, making Ekeler a near-lock for double-digit targets. The matchup is very good here and it would be surprising if Ekeler scored under 20 fantasy points, while having a very good shot at 30.
For fantasy purposes, targets are worth about 2x what a carry is worth. Using that knowledge, over the last two weeks Jones has “opportunity” totals of 30 and 28. The Packers desperately need a win, have clearly acknowledged Jones needs to be a focal point of their offense, are playing in the highest game total of the week, and are facing the worst defense in the NFL.
Etienne has a perfect skill set for a running back in fantasy football and has a great matchup against a defense that Alvin Kamara (who is very similar stylistically) just torched. Etienne is being treated as a bell cow and is underpriced for that role and matchup.
Talent, volume, matchup, game environment. He checks all the boxes and we probably haven’t seen his best work yet. Walker is now being treated as a top-3 dynasty RB yet is priced this week as the RB11 on Draftkings.
If we went “Men In Black” on the field and erased everything from last week when the Raiders completely fell apart, what would the perception of Josh Jacobs at $7,300 be? Three consecutive 30+ point games and elite usage. This is a non-prohibitive matchup and the Raiders are likely to get Jacobs back up to his 22-25 touch range he had prior to last week’s disaster.