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Mike’s Player Grid 13.22

Mike Johnson (MJohnson86) has racked up nearly $500,000 in DFS profit as an NFL tournament player with success in all styles of contests


Welcome back to my (Mjohnson86) Player Grid. The format will vary slightly from JM’s Player Grid, as we each see things slightly differently and play in slightly different contests, but should complement his thoughts and content very well for those looking to build their lineups for the week. The format of this article will likely evolve as the season progresses but should provide a lot of value. Enjoy!!


The Core

This is a list of players that stand out to me at each position from using my “Checking the Boxes” criteria outlined in my course you can find in our Marketplace. This list is a starting point, from which I build out lineups using game theory and roster construction concepts (which we will also touch on) with the mindset being to find the best plays with big ceilings. Low ownership is a bonus, but not a must. This section will focus primarily on three positions – running back, tight end, and defense – as the other two positions (quarterback and wide receiver) tend to have more dependent tendencies which I try to attack from other angles (which we will get into in the other sections). I like all of these plays on all sites unless otherwise noted:

Running Back ::
Josh Jacobs and Austin Ekeler

Both of these players have elite: game environment, matchup, volume, and talent. I’m listing them together because they are playing in the same game and it’s likely at least one of them has a huge game, with it being very possible for both to do so.

Aaron Jones

The Bears defense has not held an opponent under 27 points since Week 7, after which they started trading away top defenders. They will also be without some other key defenders this week. Jones is the lead back on an offense that we expect to score touchdowns and has taken a big lead in the usage department over AJ Dillon recently.

David Montgomery

Khalil Herbert was placed on injured reserve two games ago and Montgomery has had a carry or target on 33% of the offensive plays for the Bears in both games. He is now facing a Packers defense that has been torched by running backs all season and has Justin Fields back to spark the offense’s production.

Zonovan Knight (or Ty Johnson)

Knight came out of nowhere last week for 100+ total yards as the Jets made the ineffective James Robinson inactive. The Jets had a three-man rotation with Knight, Johnson, and Michael Carter….Carter is now doubtful for Week 13. Given the state of the slate, Knight’s $4,600 price tag in a good matchup is especially appealing as there is a good chance his performance has earned him the top-dog role in the Jets backfield. He will likely carry some ownership, but he opens up a lot for your roster. If the Jets were to fall behind, Ty Johnson could potentially play the lion’s share of the snaps as he has a history of work as a receiving back and Johnson will likely come in with under 1% ownership.

SIDE NOTES::

Travis Etienne – If we knew Etienne would have the same role he has had for much of the last few weeks, he would arguably be the top RB option on the slate. However, Etienne was pulled from last week’s game out of “an abundance of caution” after having his foot rolled up on (the same foot he broke last season, causing him to miss the whole year). Jamychal Hasty played very well last week, especially in the receiving game, and Darrell Henderson was just added to the team and could help spell Etienne as well. Basically, playing him is a roll of the dice on what kind of role he will have for a team that is essentially dead and is clearly conscious of conserving his body.

Joe Mixon // Samaje Perine // Isiah Pacheco – Listing all of these guys from the same game together. Obviously this game should draw a ton of attention, but most of that will likely flow to the passing game pieces. Each of these players has some appeal as a way to get exposure to an explosive game environment::

  • Perine would become arguably the best RB play on the slate if Mixon does not clear concussion protocol. If Mixon is active, you can’t play Perine.
  • Mixon obviously has an elite ceiling, but I have some concern that if he is active he will be eased back into action coming off a concussion, especially considering how effective Perine was the last two weeks.
  • Pacheco is coming off a 23-touch performance in which he took the reins of the Chiefs backfield. Jerick McKinnon is battling a hamstring injury but was removed from the injury report on Friday, which will keep Pacheco’s ownership minuscule. Pacheco is a perfect complement to Bengals passing game stacks.
Tight End ::

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