Mike Johnson (MJohnson86) has racked up over $500,000 in DFS profit as an NFL tournament player with success in all styles of contests
Quarterback ::
Bo Nix – Nix has scored 20+ fantasy points six times this season. In five of those games, the Broncos opponent scored 24 or more points. The one exception was the Bengals who Denver beat 28-3 while Jake Browning was their quarterback. This game has a 47.5 point total and as we have discussed/explored there are clear paths to the upside here. Denver’s running game hasn’t been efficient, so if this game is played in the upper-20’s or lower-30’s then Nix is likely to be heavily involved and once again score 25 to 28 points with upside into the 30’s.
Jared Goff // Aaron Rodgers – Not the archetype of our typical targets on Fanduel, but these two are set to square off in an explosive game environment with obvious options of who we would want to stack them with. A “Goff Double” with Metcalf and/or Gainwell makes a ton of sense, as does a “Rodgers Double” with Gibbs and/or one of their receivers.
Gardner Minshew – Minshew is cheap, facing a defense that is strong against the run and beatable through the air, and has clear/cheap stacking partners. If a Minshew stack hits, you are setup extremely well to content in a GPP.
Running Back::
Bijan Robinson – The best play on the slate. Atlanta’s offense should have a ton of success in this one and Bijan is their engine in an elite matchup.
Jahmyr Gibbs – AVERAGING 32 DK points per game in Lions wins, compared to only 12 in losses. Detroit is a 7-point favorite this week and has a 29.5 implied team total.
Travis Etienne Jr. – The game environment, volume, and ownership point to Etienne as being a sharp play. The matchup appears tough on paper, but Liam Coen’s backfield is something I like to bet on, especially in a spot where the passing game has a tough secondary to deal with.
Omarion Hampton – Hampton has played two games since returning from injury and has 15 touches on 23 snaps in one game and 16 touches on 24 snaps in the other. He is a centerpiece of this offense and his role should continue to grow. Dallas should pump more play volume into the game than the Chiefs and Eagles the last two weeks, while the Chargers are likely to lean on Hampton as they chase the AFC West title.
Javonte Williams – In the same game as Hampton, Javonte has a terrific matchup against a bad Chargers run defense (29th in run defense DVOA, 28th in PFF run defense grade). There is slight concern about workload as Malik Davis has been used more recently, but Williams could easily go over 100 yards and always has multi-touchdown potential in this offense.
Michael Carter – Should have a huge role in a potential shootout. Very capable pass catcher and provides some solid salary cap relief.
Kenneth Gainwell – An excellent way to access an explosive game environment at a low salary, Gainwell has been playing very well this season and pairs very well with the expensive Lions pieces.
