Wednesday, Sep 9th
Thursday, Sep 10th

Late Swap 4.23

StatATL has a math degree and a background as a financial analyst, and has blended an analytical, numbers-driven approach with an “OWS mindset” to rack up over $100,000 in lifetime DFS profit while maintaining low weekly buy-ins

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Outlook – Late Games:

Week four marks the second week in a row with only three games (out of twelve) falling in the late window. However, two of the late games have a lot of potential fantasy goodness, with both *potentially* having late-breaking news. The two late games I’m referencing are the Chargers vs. Raiders and the 49ers vs. the Cardinals. The final game of the afternoon also features the Dallas Cowboys, who carry a 25-point team total, and a reasonably concentrated offense as 6-point home favorites.

As it stands Saturday afternoon, three of the four highest projected owned players will be featured on the late slate, with the two highest owned, Keenan Allen and Davante Adams, playing against each other (Tony Pollard is the third referenced above). In this same game, Austin Ekeler is listed as doubtful. While he is unlikely to suit up, Ekeler’s status really affects so much. If active, the most popular value play in Joshua Palmer disappears, and Keenan Allen’s massive projected targets will need to be adjusted. Again, it is unlikely, but if active, Ekeler will offer some of the best leverage on the slate in a great matchup.The second piece of potential late-breaking news is around the 49ers. Juwan Jennings is listed as doubtful and both Elijah Mitchell, and more importantly Deebo Samuel, are listed as questionable. Deebo is considered a true game-time decision, and if he’s inactive, the offense really consolidates around Brandon Aiyuk, George Kittle, and Christian McCaffrey. If Jennings and Samuel both miss, it also brings 7th round rookie Ronnie Bell into consideration at $3,400.  

Important Early Outcomes to Watch:
  • The Rams feature a highly concentrated offense, and two of the five highest projected owned (Kyren Williams and Puka Nacua) are featured in the game against the Colts. They are both mid-priced, so a 25+ point score from either will need to be accounted for.
  • Dolphins vs. Bills – Featuring several highly owned pieces (Josh Allen, Stefon Diggs, James Cook, Tyreek Hill, and Raheem Mostert) in the best-on-paper game environment of the early slate.
  • Slate Breakers such as Tyreek Hill’s 47.5 DK point performance in Week 1 or Raheem Mostert’s 45.2 outburst last week.
Price Range Breakdowns (Late Games):

$7,100 and up:

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