Late Swap 16.23

StatATL has a math degree and a background as a financial analyst, and has blended an analytical, numbers-driven approach with an “OWS mindset” to rack up over $100,000 in lifetime DFS profit while maintaining low weekly buy-ins

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Outlook – Late Games:

The Week 16 main slate only features 9 games, which might be the smallest of the season. It likely feels even more condensed due to very few games that present strong on-paper game environments. Chalk is forming like it always does, and we’ll discuss how we can exploit some of these fragile situations below.

Important Early Outcomes to Watch:

• Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson – OWS subscribers know that we’ve been picking on the Commanders ‘defense’ all season and both Breece Hall and Wilson are projecting to be 2 of the 5 (or so) highest owned on the slate. Both certainly have upside in this spot, but both could easily fail with Trevor Siemian starting at QB for the Jets.     
• Bijan Robinson – The RB position is thin this week and the Falcons RBs have a great on-paper matchup. We haven’t seen it yet, but Bijan likely possesses 30+ DK potential.   
• Ty Chandler and Justin Jefferson – Like the Jets pieces mentioned above, both Chandler and Jefferson are projected to be 2 of the 5 highest owned on the slate. While both could hit, Chandler is facing one of the toughest defenses against the run and Justin Jefferson is playing with the 4^th starting QB for the Vikings this season.       
• NY Jets DST – The Jets are projected to be the highest-owned DST unit on the slate by a wide margin against a Washington team known for allowing sacks. The Jets are a strong defensive unit, however, they force a below league average amount of turnovers, which is where defense scoring comes from and they are currently projected for close to 30% ownership.
• Slate Breakers – Such as Ja’Marr Chase’s 55 DK point performance in week 5 or CJ Stroud’s 46 points in week 9.

Price Range Breakdowns (Late Games):

$7,100 and up: