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Coming off a main slate where 178 points shipped the milli maker, Week 11 offers us a unique opportunity with several strong on-paper game environments, but only three afternoon games. Pricing feels a bit softer this week coupled with ownership really congregating, we’ll discuss ways to leverage this information below. So let’s dive right in.
Alvin Kamara – Current projections have Kamara as the highest-owned player on the slate, likely checking in at over 30% ownership for the second straight week. Kamara has seen an elite workload since the injuries to Olave and Shaheed, but the Browns haven’t allowed an RB to rush for 85 yards yet this season. No other Saint projects for over 5% ownership…
De’Von Achane – Similar to Kamara, the field is expressing certainty that the Dolphins scoring is going to flow through Achane, and he is projecting for around 30% ownership, 2nd highest on the slate just behind Kamara. Achane is fundamentally underpriced for his role in the Miami offense and with slightly looser pricing this week, playing two $7k+ options this week appears to be how the field is building.
Lions – Detroit has a Vegas implied team total of 30.5 points, which is higher than any other team on the slate by more than a field goal. The Lions do tend to spread the ball around, but if the TDs flow through one or two of their primary players, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see a Lion post a 25-30 point fantasy score, likely at moderate ownership.
Slate Breakers – Such as Ja’Marr Chase’s 58.4 DK point performance last week.
