Sunday, Feb 11th — Late
Bye Week:
Bears
Bengals
Bills
Broncos
Browns
Buccaneers
Cardinals
Chargers
Colts
Commanders
Cowboys
Dolphins
Eagles
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Titans
Vikings

JM’s Player Grid 5.23

JMToWin is a high-stakes tournament champion (Thunderdome, Luxury Box, Game Changer, Wildcat, King of the Hill/Beach, Spy, etc.) who focuses on the DraftKings Main Slate


OWS Fam ::

This is not a complete list of all the good plays on the slate

This is, instead, a look at the player pool I’ll be fishing


The Grid ::

Bottom-Up Build

:: covered in-depth in the Angles Pod (it’s highly recommended that you listen to the breakdown of the roster in order to see the thinking behind it, and in order to understand what we’re talking about when we look at a “bottom-up build”)

Blue Chips

:: my “Tier 1” plays: the plays I feel confident leaning into across different types of builds; these players have a high ceiling and a low likelihood of price-considered failure

Build-Arounds

:: games, offenses, situations, or scenarios I’ll be looking to build around across my rosters

Building Blocks

:: unique player pairings that can be used as foundational building blocks for tournament rosters

Bonuses

:: players who don’t fit into the categories above — either Upside pieces who don’t have the floor to be Blue Chips (and are not being focused on within my game-focused builds) or players who may not have a strong shot at ceiling, but are worth keeping in mind from a “role” perspective


Sunday Morning Update

Nothing from my end looks particularly different from expectations.

My highest-owned QBs are Dobbs, Stafford, and Mahomes, with the next tier belonging to Hurts // Tua // Daniel Jones, and the bottom tier of ownership on my end consisting of Richardson // Stroud // Zach Wilson

The Cardinals’ core 4 (Conner // Hollywood // Michael Wilson // Ertz) are spread across my rosters, with plenty of rosters that have two of them, and the rest having one. These four cost $18k and have combined for 60ish points in two of their last three games, which is a reasonable expectation again in this spot. At 3.33x salary for the full block in two of three games, we have a pretty good shot at some solo shots or two-player pairings yielding 4x+. This angle aims to take advantage by mixing and matching and trying to land on the right combos with the right other pieces.

At running back…

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Bottom-Up Build

Full breakdown (of what this is, and what the thinking is behind these players) can (and should) be found in the Angles Pod (on the One Week Season podcast feed).

Bottom-Up Build
DK Salary Remaining :: $6.3K

Josh Dobbs
Breece Hall
Raheem Mostert
Marquise Brown
Garrett Wilson
Nico Collins
Zach Ertz
Michael Wilson
Patriots

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Buy-In:

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Rules:

Build with a salary cap of $44k or below!

Prizes:

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Blue Chips

Patrick Mahomes

Mahomes has one of the stronger ranges of outcomes on this slate at the QB position, as the matchup is non-prohibitive, and the opponent is capable of scoring points (i.e., they don’t actually have to score points in order for Mahomes and the Chiefs to remain aggressive; the threat of Minnesota putting up points should be enough for the Chiefs to proactively chase a big number on the scoreboard).

As always, the top pairing partner with Mahomes is Kelce (and if I’m playing Kelce, I’m probably playing Mahomes; see the Bink Machine section below), but you can also take shots on a popular Rashee Rice or an unpopular Skyy Moore, each of whom has relatively equal shots at being the rare wide receiver from the Chiefs to put up a tournament-worthy score.

“Light Blue” Chips

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Build-Arounds

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Building Blocks

“1989”
Mahomes + Kelce + Addison
Story:

Taylor Swift.

Also, “Mahomes and Kelce combine for 60+ DraftKings points in a game where Kansas City sets out to score as many points as they can, and then sell out to stop Justin Jefferson. Targets spill over to Addison as a result.”

Why It Works:

Mahomes + Kelce is an obvious way to go, but it’s tough to fit in high-upside players around this pairing, and things get especially restrictive if adding Justin Jefferson. There is value on this slate, but most of it is of the “can get you 12 to 15 points” variety, which creates opportunity to avoid the obvious value — something most Mahomes + Kelce rosters won’t be doing — and to grab some strong leverage off Jefferson.

How It Works:

This block has an outside shot at putting 85 to 90 points on your roster from only three spots, though a large chunk of those would be coming from Mahomes + Kelce, which won’t be especially sneaky. As such, I would still want to make sure I’m doing at least one or two other things on my “1989” rosters to differentiate me from the field.

POTENTIAL DOWNSIDE:

The story plays out differently, and you don’t get first place — which is really all that matters.

“Duh”

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Bink Machine

A look at some of the rules I’ll be applying in the Bink Machine this week.

Kelce + Mahomes

“On 100% of Kelce rosters, play both players in this pool” :: Kelce Anchor + Mahomes — our classic bet of, “If Kelce is hitting, we’re probably getting Mahomes correct as well, so we should take advantage of that free square.”

Duh

“On at least 70% of Kupp rosters, play two players from this pool” :: Kupp Anchor || as explored in the “Duh” Building Block above, bet on Kupp being one of two high-priced guys on this slate to post a high-end score.

Dobby Double Anchor

“On 100% of Dobbs + Ertz rosters, include at least three players, and as many as four players, from this pool” :: This is not a hard-and-fast rule for me, but I wanted to show off the new “double anchor” feature in the Bink Machine (anchors on both Dobbs and Ertz); this rule would force Dobbs doubles and triples in any places where Ertz shows up on a Dobbs roster.

Bonuses

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If Building For Single-Entry // Three-Entry Max

This is my narrowest pool, which means it’s the pool likeliest to change a bit as I move deeper into builds. If it changes throughout Saturday night, I’ll add an update in this space.

If I were building for single-entry // three-entry Max, my tightened-up player pool would be:

QB ::

Mahomes || Tua || Dobbs || Hurts || Stafford || Zach Wilson || Danny Dimes || Stroud

RB ::

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A Wrap ::

I’ll see you at the top of the leaderboards this weekend!

-JM