Sunday, Feb 11th — Late
Bye Week:
Bears
Bengals
Bills
Broncos
Browns
Buccaneers
Cardinals
Chargers
Colts
Commanders
Cowboys
Dolphins
Eagles
Falcons
Giants
Jaguars
Jets
Lions
Packers
Panthers
Patriots
Raiders
Rams
Ravens
Saints
Seahawks
Steelers
Texans
Titans
Vikings

JM’s Player Grid 11.22

JMToWin is a high-stakes tournament champion (Thunderdome, Luxury Box, Game Changer, Wildcat) who is focusing this year on single-entry/three-entry max


OWS Fam ::

This is not a complete list of all the good plays on the slate

This is, instead, a look at the player pool I’ll be fishing


The Grid ::

Bottom-Up Build

:: covered in-depth in the Angles Pod (it’s highly recommended that you listen to the breakdown of the roster in order to see the thinking behind it, and in order to understand what we’re talking about when we look at a “bottom-up build”)

Blue Chips

:: my “Tier 1” plays: the plays I feel confident leaning into across different types of builds; these players have a high ceiling and a low likelihood of price-considered failure

Build-Arounds

:: games, offenses, situations, or scenarios I’ll be looking to build around across my rosters

Building Blocks

:: unique player pairings that can be used as foundational building blocks for tournament rosters

Bonuses

:: players who don’t fit into the categories above — either Upside pieces who don’t have the floor to be Blue Chips (and are not being focused on within my game-focused builds) or players who may not have a strong shot at ceiling, but are worth keeping in mind from a “role” perspective


Angles Pod

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OWS DFS || Inner Circle

Permanent Price Bump coming at the end of Week 2!

Lock in the lower price for life!


Bottom-Up Build

Full breakdown (of what this is, and what the thinking is behind these players) can (and should) be found in the Angles Pod (above).

Correlated Bottom-Up Build
DK Salary Remaining :: $6.1K

Justin Fields
Josh Jacobs
Antonio Gibson
Parris Campbell
Kendall Hinton
K.J. Osborn
Dalton Schultz
Pat Freiermuth
Jets

Join The Bottom-Up Build Contest On DraftKings!

Buy-In:
Free

Rules:
Build with a salary cap of $44k or below!

Prizes:
150 Edge Points (good for two free DFS Education courses!) + ‘Discord Blue’ color in Discord!

Join Here – Contest 1

Join Here – Contest 2

* With the BUB becoming more popular, we’ve set up two contests. ONLY ENTER ONE. The best score between the two contests will be credited with the win! *


Blue Chips

Josh Allen

Easy does it.

We can talk about Josh Allen “disappointing of late” — and yet, he’s still scored 24+ DK points in all but one game this season, and he’s set to be playing in a dome against a Cleveland pass defense that ranks 26th in DVOA. With a run defense that ranks 32nd in DVOA, Cleveland has faced the ninth lowest opponent pass play rate in the league, but we know the Bills will typically tilt toward the air unless the ground matchup is soft AND the aerial matchup is brutal, which will allow Allen to attack a defense allowing the eighth most yards per pass attempt in the league. I don’t want to roster Josh Allen and end up with 25ish DK points — but given the state of this slate, that type of score won’t kill you…and Allen’s ceiling is as high as anyone’s on this slate.

As highlighted in my DFS Interpretation for this game in the NFL Edge, I’ll be on Diggs this week, but will (mostly) only play him on rosters that include Allen. I’ll also be on Gabe Davis (both with and without Allen), and will be happy to include a Cleveland bring-back on rosters that focus on this passing attack.

“Light Blue” Chips

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Build-Arounds

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Building Blocks

New this year: these are unique player pairings that can be used as foundational building blocks for tournament rosters

Jefferson + CeeDee
Cost: $16.6K DK // $17.2k FD
Story:

“One guy pushes the other”

Why It Works:

With pricing pretty tight this week, most people who think about this pairing will try it…and then move on. It’s tough to build a roster around this, which should make one of the most natural pairings on the slate relatively low-owned. While each guy should grab individual ownership, the combinatorial number should set you up for success. Most importantly, this pairing has enough raw upside that it can be a difference-maker if it hits.

How It Works:

Teams have attacked the Cowboys on the ground, and the Cowboys build their offensive identity off the run. This game has a chance to start pretty slowly; but if the pace and scoring pick up late in the first half, we could end up with a game in which each of these guys is seeing 12 to 15 targets. Jefferson is a challenger for the crown of “best wide receiver in the NFL,” and Lamb is taking on a Minnesota defense that has allowed the second most wide receiver yards in the league. I expect most of my exposure on these players to come together. Note, this pairing is going to be higher-owned on FanDuel, where these players take up only 28.7% of the salary cap compared to a hefty 33.2% on DK. This gives you less of a strategy edge, but does give you an excellent package of correlated plays at a too-low price tag.

POTENTIAL DOWNSIDE:

The story plays out differently, and you don’t get first place — which is really all that matters.

Mariota + Pitts + Montgomery

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Bonuses

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If Building For Single-Entry // Three-Entry Max

This is my narrowest pool, which means it’s the pool likeliest to change a bit as I move deeper into builds. If it changes throughout Saturday night, I’ll add an update in this space.

If I were building for single-entry // three-entry Max, my tightened-up player pool would be:

QB ::

Josh Allen || Justin Fields || Marcus Mariota || Dak Prescott || Kirk Cousins || Joe Burrow

RB ::

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A Wrap ::

I’ll see you at the top of the leaderboards this weekend!

-JM