Kickoff Sunday, Nov 19th 4:25pm Eastern

Jets (
15.25) at

Bills (

Over/Under 39.0


Key Matchups
Jets Run D
14th DVOA/11th Yards allowed per carry
Bills Run O
5th DVOA/9th Yards per carry
Jets Pass D
3rd DVOA/7th Yards allowed per pass
Bills Pass O
3rd DVOA/7th Yards per pass
Bills Run D
18th DVOA/28th Yards allowed per carry
Jets Run O
32nd DVOA/13th Yards per carry
Bills Pass D
9th DVOA/5th Yards allowed per pass
Jets Pass O
31st DVOA/31st Yards per pass

Game Overview ::

By mike johnson >>
  • The Jets season is on the brink as they continue to lose close games despite solid play from their defense.
  • All things considered, Zach Wilson looked better than most people will admit last week. 
  • Buffalo is playing on a short week and just fired their offensive coordinator for throwing interceptions and defensive substitutions.
  • This is a rematch of a Week 1 game that the Jets won on Monday Night Football in dramatic fashion on a punt return touchdown.
  • The Bills have lost three of their last four games with two of those matchups coming at the hands of teams that have not played well this season.

How new york Will Try To Win ::

The Jets are a frustrating team to watch for many reasons. Zach Wilson has obviously had his struggles and does some head-scratching things at times. On the other hand, he also made a few plays in Week 10 against the Raiders that were absolutely incredible and only a handful of QBs in the league could even think of trying. The interesting thing about the Jets and Wilson is that their apparent lack of confidence in him, and his frequent lack of confidence in himself, leads to a very conservative approach that leans on the run. Watching the games, and seeing how he performs when they are down late and have no choice but to cut it loose, I can’t help but wonder if he would actually be better if they took a more aggressive approach. The early down runs are pretty predictable and often lead to longer third downs in predictable passing situations. Just a theory, but the Jets may benefit from playing as the aggressor rather than on their heels all the time. While there is a greater chance of being run out of the building with that approach, the alternative is they just continue being put in these close games that they are going to come out on the wrong end of in most instances.

Perhaps the biggest issue for the Jets offense has been their offensive line. They rank 30th in PFF pass blocking grade, and this week face the Bills and their 12th graded pass rush. Buffalo’s defensive scheme is primarily a Cover-3 look that focuses on preventing big plays in the passing game. Ironically, the Jets offense also focuses on preventing big plays in their passing game. The Jets had a ton of success running on the Bills in Week 1 and that was when they were still taking things slowly with Breece Hall. In that game, Hall had 127 rushing yards on only 10 carries. Now operating as the clear bell cow for this team, Hall will be the centerpiece of the Jets offensive game plan in this matchup and seems very likely to see 20 to 25 touches with work on the ground and through the air. Garrett Wilson continues to operate as a true alpha wide receiver and is almost a lock to see double digit targets once again with a legitimate shot at 15 targets in this game if New York falls behind. Meanwhile, tight end Tyler Conklin has had his best two games of the season the last two weeks and should see a lot of volume once again with Buffalo’s scheme forcing things underneath. All things considered, the Jets are going to once again rely on their defense keeping them in this one, with the offense built around Hall and Garrett Wilson while they attempt to play “hide the quarterback” with Zach Wilson.

How buffalo Will Try To Win ::

<< Add Access >>


(No CC Required)