Game Overview ::
By mike johnson >>
- The Tommy DeVito experience will continue for the Giants as they set their sights on the top pick in the 2024 draft.
- New York’s defense is suffering as it struggles to keep up a high level of play due to the continued short drives from their offense.
- This is one of several rematches on the Week 11 slate, as the Giants won the first matchup between these teams 14-7 with Tyrod Taylor at quarterback.
- Washington has been quietly competitive throughout this season despite their 4-6 record.
- The Commanders pass defense has been horrific this season, but that might not matter in this matchup.
How new york Will Try To Win ::
Rewatching the Giants 49-17 loss to the Cowboys in Week 10, as strange as it may sound, it feels hard to put much blame on the Giants defense. The New York offense was off the field so quickly on every drive that it became hard to continue to hold their ground against the high-powered Dallas offense. Looking at the box score, you can see that Dallas scored only 7 points in the opening quarter and 7 points in the fourth quarter, dropping 35 points combined in the 2nd and 3rd quarters. This isn’t to say the Giants defense looked great, as they gave up 640 total yards of offense, but rather to point out how, despite football having separate components (offense, defense, special teams), those components are correlated in terms of performance in many ways. Like a snowball rolling down a hill, good performance on one side of the ball often predicates better conditions for the opposing side. This is why we can often see teams with wildly different outcomes on a week-to-week basis. As for the Giants, it is hard to see big swings in a positive direction as currently constructed. Their defense ranks 26th in DVOA against the pass and 30th in DVOA against the run, while their offense roughly resembles a high school JV team.
Looking at this week, the Giants are sticking with Tommy DeVito at quarterback and have not shown much trust to let him push the ball down the field even when they are getting run out of the building, making it hard to imagine they will be aggressive to start this game. That’s a bit of an issue this week, as Washington’s defense is far more vulnerable against the pass. This is a secondary that we have been actively attacking in DFS so far this season and that opponents have noticed and have been letting their quarterbacks loose against them. The fact that New York likely can’t take advantage of its opponent’s biggest weakness is a negative factor for their projection. The Giants game plan will be squarely built around Saquon Barkley and the running game, with their passing focused on play action and short to intermediate “bunny” throws that let DeVito protect the ball. New York won an ugly, low-scoring game against Washington the first time around, and they will attempt to do so again this week. There will likely be a bit more energy on the defensive side of the ball as well, knowing that they’ve accomplished this feat once and that this is an offense they can contain to the point where maybe 14 to 17 points from the offense can be enough.
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