After seeing the Browns beat the Steelers in the first snow game of the year, we are going to go to the comfy controlled elements of the dome in Indy as this game comes in with the second fastest adjusted pace time (28.0) and 4th fastest average of neutral seconds per snap (27.1). The Lions are clicking offensively in all facets, coming off putting a 50 burger on the Jaguars last week, a game in which they piled up 76 offensive snaps. They have been playing much faster over the last month and project for the 3rd most plays this week (65.3). They are 1st in points per game (33.6), 3rd in yards per game (394.7) and 4th in red zone conversion percentage (68.3%). They have an implied point total of 29.25 this week. The Colts are 3rd fastest in neutral pace and seconds/snap (25.4), coming off a week where they ran 67 offensive plays. This game has an O/U point total of 50.5.
These two teams have the fastest average adjusted pace time (28.1) and an average of neutral seconds per snap (25.0). The Cowboys are the fastest in seconds/snap (23.8), 2nd plays/gm (65), 3rd in Pass Percentage Plus Pass Rate Over Expected (66.5%), 1st in Pass Percentage (67.2%) and 11th in Non-Two Minute No Huddle Percentage (12%). The Commanders are 9th fastest in seconds/snap (27.3), 2nd in total plays (687) and numero uno in Non-Two Minute No Huddle Percentage (63.2%). They have the 2nd highest implied points total on the slate (27.5). This game has the best combined passing matchups according to DVOA pass offense vs DVOA pass defense.
Arizona at Seattle looks pretty good to be played at a good pace, but since rain is expected in that one, it will pivot to Bucs at Giants, which has the 2nd fastest average of neutral seconds per snap (26.6). The Bucs are 12th in plays/game (61.3), 6th in Pass Percentage Plus Pass Rate Over Expected (61.9%) and 8th in Pass Percentage (59.3%). They are converting 68.4% of their red zone possessions, the 3rd best in the NFL. The Giants are 4th in plays/gm (64.0), and they register just above league average in Seconds/Snap (27.4), Pass Percentage Plus Pass Rate Over Expected (53.7%), Pass Percentage (58.3%), and Non-Two Minute No Huddle Percentage (11.2%). This game is the 5th best combined passing matchup according to DVOA pass offense vs DVOA pass defense.