This is the fastest game of the week by a pretty wide margin, as these two teams come in with a fast average adjusted pace time (28.2) and an average of neutral seconds per snap (27.2). The Browns are the 7th fastest in seconds/snap (26.4), 3rd in Plays/Game (64.9), 3rd in Pass Percentage Plus Pass Rate Over Expected (67.6%), 2nd in Pass Percentage (65.2%), and 8th in Non-Two Minute No Huddle Percentage (14.9%). They project to run the 5th most plays this week (63.9). The Saints are 6th fastest in seconds/snap (26.3), 10th in plays run/game (61.4) and 6th in total plays (620). The Browns should be able to run and throw on the depleted Saints defense that seems to be holding on by a thread.
QB Jameis Winston has attempted an average of 44 pass attempts in his two starts, and it’s a good matchup for Browns RBs, WRs, and TEs. It is particularly good for the running game this is a top-5 matchup vs the Saints front and favorable for the entire Browns WR room (Tillman, Jeudy, E.Moore) who are all viable in DFS, don’t hesitate to stack any of them with Winston. TE David Njoku is an animal, and you can get him in your lineups as well! On the other side of the ball, the Saints should be able to make some splash plays. This is a top-3 matchup for the Saints WRs vs a vulnerable Browns secondary. Cleveland has given up five TD passes of 20+ yards or more. Alvin Kamara is one of the best point-per-dollar options on the slate. He’s fantastic, and his opportunity share is massive every week.
These two teams have the 2nd fastest average adjusted pace time (28.1) and the 4th fastest average of neutral seconds per snap (27.3). The Falcons are the 4th fastest in seconds/snap (25.5), 3rd in total plays run (624), 12th in Pass Percentage (57%), and 6th in Non-Two Minute No Huddle Percentage (17.2%). The Broncos are 8th fastest in seconds/snap (26.5), 7th in total plays (613), 11th in Pass Percentage Plus Pass Rate Over Expected (56.3%), 13th in Pass Percentage (56.1%), and 7th in Non-Two Minute No Huddle Percentage (15.4%). The Falcons offense is moving the ball. Their currently 5th in yards per game (375.1) but just 15th in red zone conversion rate (54.8%). They’ll need to keep QB Kirk Cousins upright in this one, the Broncos do like to get after the QB, their #1 in blitz rate (41.9%).
If they can establish RB Bijan Robinson, who has been doing it all and already surpassed 1,000 all-purpose yards last week, it should open up the passing game. Pace will be critical because this Broncos secondary is good, but if Atlanta can sustain drives, they come in 7th in yards per play (6.0). We should get some back-and-forth in this one. The Broncos’ offense has a much easier matchup on paper vs. the Falcons’ defense, which has struggled to limit the QB over the last few games. The Falcons are 30th in the league in pressure rate (26.5) so Nix should have time to let things develop downfield. It’s a good matchup for Broncos WRs and TEs, and Courtland Sutton has been hot, averaging 7 catches/97 yards per game over his last three games.
This game has the fasted average adjusted pace time (27.8). The Texans are 1st in plays/game (65.6), 10th in Pass Percentage Plus Pass Rate Over Expected (55.1%), and 12th in Pass Percentage (57.2%). They project for the most plays run this week (65.4). The Cowboys are the fastest in seconds/snap (24.1), 6th in plays run/game (63.4), 5th in Pass Percentage Plus Pass Rate Over Expected (64.4%), 1st in Pass Percentage (65.8%), and 11th in Non-Two Minute No Huddle Percentage (12.6%). Houston gets a plummeting Dallas defense, and it’s a top-five favorable matchup for QB CJ Stroud and his WRs/TEs that will include alpha WR Nico Collins. Stroud has completed 71% of his passes when he has Collins on the field vs 58% with him off.
Dallas’ defense has allowed a league-high 77.5% red zone conversion rate. The Cowboys, specifically QB Cooper Rush, struggled last week, but from a personal standpoint and how the Texans’ defense has played this season, this isn’t an unbeatable matchup for Rush and his WRs. Rush had performed well in the past when called into duty, the game looked a bit fast for him last week, and should hopefully slow down some this week. WR CeeDee Lamb should feast. He’s scheduled to see CB Jalen Pitre, which is a real mismatch. Houston’s secondary has allowed 11.7 yards per completion with a league-high 6.8% TD rate.
