Thursday, Sep 5th
Monday, Sep 9th

End Around 20.23

MACRO SLATE VIEW::

This slate carries an interesting dynamic in that the two Saturday games carry wide spreads, with each home favorite team favored by more than a touchdown. Mikey covered this dynamic well in the first Oracle question, and he nailed the fact that it creates such a unique aspect of this slate. Team and game stacks from those two games are likely to go largely overlooked, while most Packers players are going to garner minimal ownership.

RESTRICTIVE CHALK VS EXPANSIVE CHALK::

Quick explanation :: Restrictive chalk is an expected highly owned piece that restricts the maneuverability of the remainder of your roster while expansive chalk is an expected highly owned piece that allows for higher amounts of maneuverability on the remainder of your roster. Classifying various forms of chalk as either restrictive or expansive allows us to visualize what it means for roster construction on a given slate and how restrictive a certain player might be – meaning more of the field will look similar from a roster construction standpoint with that piece.

We’re going to alter our definition of chalk to include players expected to garner 30 percent ownership or more for the four-game slate.

CHRISTIAN MCCAFFREY

RESTRICTIVE CHALK. The top fantasy asset in the league this season on the team with the highest Vegas implied team total. Checks out. That said, there are some interesting ways to deploy McCaffrey that we will discuss below.

JOSH REYNOLDS

EXPANSIVE CHALK. The field seems certain that one of Josh Reynolds or Jameson Williams will return a GPP-viable score here, as the two have a combined 70 percent expected ownership. We’ll discuss some of the theoretical implications of this truth below.

JAMESON WILLIAMS

EXPANSIVE CHALK. The field seems certain that one of Josh Reynolds or Jameson Williams will return a GPP-viable score here, as the two have a combined 70 percent expected ownership. We’ll discuss some of the theoretical implications of this truth below.

DEVIN SINGLETARY

NEITHER RESTRICTIVE NOR EXPANSIVE CHALK. Singletary is about as face-up as can be this weekend, likely to see 22-25 running back opportunities if the game remains close and likely to fall to 15-17 running back opportunities in a blowout in either direction. In a vacuum, that would make his high ownership expectation a mistake with the Ravens favored by more than a touchdown. As in, there are better ways to deploy Singletary than a one-off from the first game of the weekend.

ISIAH PACHECO

NEITHER RESTRICTIVE NOR EXPANSIVE CHALK. Another interesting dynamic of this slate is the fact that McCaffrey is leagues above the salary of all other running backs, and then we get to a massive clump of backs priced between $6,700 and $6,100 – one of which is Pacheco. All of Pacheco, Rachaad White, James Cook, Aaron Jones, Jahmyr Gibbs, and David Montgomery fall into this tier, and while all will garner ownership on this slate, Pacheco is currently the fan favorite. Interesting.

AMON-RA ST. BROWN

RESTRICTIVE CHALK. The third Detroit wide receiver on the list. None of these guys are bad on-paper plays but there most certainly is something to be said that almost every roster in play on the main slate will have one of the Lions wide receivers.

CHALK BUILD::

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