When you are prop betting, it is critical to realize that the lines are going to change constantly from the minute they come out. The prop line you see late Tuesday night/early Wednesday morning will be completely different from the line that you see late Saturday night. I’ve gotten HUGE advantages by attacking lines early. Sportsbooks get sharper as the money rolls in. Our job is to beat them to the punch!
Here are my favorite prop bets as of Wednesday, September 4th:
The line has already gone up from 219.5. I would not be shocked to see it get closer to 229.5 by kickoff.
This is a LOCK. The sportsbooks are underestimating Daniels’ wheels and don’t realize that he is the second coming of RG3.
If the Falcons are intending to use him like the Rams use Kyren Williams this feels like a great spot to be over. Kyle Pitts’ hamstring helps as well.
Strike now, as this might be the lowest we see his receiving yards prop all season.
Williams is more mobile than most people realize, and he likes to throw on the run when he’s under pressure. I also expect him to be more skittish in his first NFL start.
Indianapolis can be beaten by the power-running game, and the Texans are going to mix it up more than most people expect. Look for Mixon to break off 2-3 big gainers.
