JMToWin is a high-stakes tournament champion (Thunderdome, Luxury Box, Game Changer, Wildcat) who is focusing this year on single-entry/three-entry max
This is, instead, a look at the player pool I’ll be fishing
:: covered in-depth in the Angles Pod (it’s highly recommended that you listen to the breakdown of the roster in order to see the thinking behind it, and in order to understand what we’re talking about when we look at a “bottom-up build”)
:: my “Tier 1” plays: the plays I feel confident leaning into across different types of builds; these players have a high ceiling and a low likelihood of price-considered failure
:: games, offenses, situations, or scenarios I’ll be looking to build around across my rosters
:: unique player pairings that can be used as foundational building blocks for tournament rosters
:: players who don’t fit into the categories above — either Upside pieces who don’t have the floor to be Blue Chips (and are not being focused on within my game-focused builds) or players who may not have a strong shot at ceiling, but are worth keeping in mind from a “role” perspective
Permanent Price Bump coming at the end of Week 2!
Lock in the lower price for life!
Full breakdown (of what this is, and what the thinking is behind these players) can (and should) be found in the Angles Pod (above).
Tyler Huntley
Miles Sanders
Cam Akers
Corey Davis
Greg Dortch
Ja’Marr Chase
Mark Andrews
Albert Okwuegbunam
Vikings
Free
Build with a salary cap of $44k or below!
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194 yards. Can he get there? — maybe not, but with games this year of 184, 193, and 223, Jefferson will definitely head into this game believing he’ll be able to set the record for receiving yards in a season, and it won’t be surprising if the Vikings look for ways to get him there. While Jefferson is a likable human being, and it will be fun if he gets the record, I couldn’t care less for DFS purposes. What I do care about is that A) the Vikings need to treat this like a normal game in order to keep their chances of the 2-seed afloat, and B) peppering Jefferson with targets is their best way to get there. The fact that Kevin O’Connell is a players’ coach and the Vikings would love to get Jefferson this record mean that we can feel comfortable projecting a nice workload for him in this spot, and “eyes set on 194 yards” will make it that much more likely that he notches the 100-yard bonus and falls into some scoring opportunities. In a week full of uncertainty, even Jefferson carries a bit himself, as the Vikings could sneak one by us and decide that they don’t think the depleted Cardinals can defeat the 49ers, and that it’s therefore better to rest key players after just a couple drives (wouldn’t that throw a wrench into this weekend!). But barring that scenario, Jefferson should once again land in the 11-16 target range (incredibly, he’s been there 11 times this year), giving him a clear path to becoming one of the stronger options on the slate.
New this year: these are unique player pairings that can be used as foundational building blocks for tournament rosters
“Dalvin hits the way he has this season”
Dalvin’s ownership projection is currently 18.4%, but nearly every one of those Dalvin rosters will NOT have Justin Jefferson. And yet, Jefferson (as we’ve explored a number of times recently) has scored 33+ DK points in three of the four games in which Dalvin went for 26+. In other words :: if Dalvin hits the way he has most often this season (in “Vikings smash” games that lead to Jefferson hitting as well), these Dalvin rosters won’t be separating from the field, as they’ll be getting “these points” while the Jefferson rosters get “those points.” By playing these two together, “a nice game from Dalvin” could easily mean you get one-up on the rest of the Dalvin rosters, while also having a nice head start on the rest of the Jefferson rosters.
Because of the salary spent here and the clear lead you’re gaining on a massive chunk of the field if this block hits (with Dalvin // Jefferson combining for around 40%-owned in projections, and these two likely to be on very few rosters together), you’re in a really nice position if this block hits. At the same time, the chances of these two massively separating from all the non-Dalvin/Jefferson rosters are somewhat slim (i.e., you’re likelier to get 3.8x to 4x your combined salary spent if everything comes together than you are to get, say, 4.5x+), which means I would still want to be hunting for at least one other really nice angle or edge on a Dalvin/Jefferson build.
The story plays out differently, and you don’t get first place — which is really all that matters.
This is my narrowest pool, which means it’s the pool likeliest to change a bit as I move deeper into builds. If it changes throughout Saturday night, I’ll add an update in this space.
If I were building for single-entry // three-entry Max, my tightened-up player pool would be:
Jalen Hurts || Joe Burrow || a bit of Russell Wilson || potentially a bit of Joe Flacco
I’ll see you at the top of the leaderboards this weekend!
-JM
