Colts DC Gus Bradley loves to play Cover 3 defense which is exactly what Stroud loves to shred. This is a Dome game which should create a ton a lot of pace. It will be a pretty high-scoring game and I think Stroud continues where he left off last year with about 300 passing yards and at least 2 touchdowns.
I often look to the opposing quarterback in a game that I think is going to go off as a potential visionary play. I am not worried in the least about any of Richardson’s struggles in the preseason. He’s the guy when the lights come on that just plays at a different level. Right now his passing prop is 222.5 passing yards and I think he’s going to smash this Over and probably throw for about 260 and two touchdowns and maybe even a rushing touchdown too.
Sportsbooks are often the last ones to a party and I feel that they are missing the boat on Daniels. They have his rushing prop at 39.5 yards, and I feel confident that he’s going to smash that. The Bucs are a good team to play in his first game as I think that they’re still not strong enough with their pass rush and if you give Daniels enough time, he’s going to find some of his receivers down the field. Look for Daniels to get about 240 passing yards with another 60 rushing yards, with one touchdown in the air and one touchdown on the ground.
Honorable Mentions: Baker Mayfield, Tua Tagovailoa
With Kyle Pitts dealing with an injured hamstring and Drake London likely to see a lot of Joey Porter on the outside in coverage I think this is the game where Robinson starts establishing himself as the potential fantasy player of the year. Look for him to see about 23 touches with 18 carries and five receptions. That should give him well over 100 total yards from scrimmage and a touchdown.
The Broncos had one of the worst run defenses in the league last year and I don’t think they did enough this offseason to improve it. Seattle’s offensive engine begins with Walker and when he gets 20-plus touches, he always seems to put up about 85 to 95 yards and a touchdown. I think that happens here this week in a game that Seattle dominates from beginning to end.
I’m not sure why but it feels like a lot of people in the fantasy space have lost faith in White. Not me. I am all in on him and moreover, I’m all in on Antonio Pierce finding a way to give him 20 carries each week. Don’t forget that if Alexander Mattison was any good he still be in Minnesota right now! Let’s also not forget that the Chargers defensive line was a sieve last season so I don’t think there’s any way that White doesn’t get 100 rushing yards and a touchdown.
Honorable Mentions: Rachaad White, Alvin Kamara
I know this feels like an obvious play but sometimes the obvious plays are the best visionary plays. I could not blame anyone who wanted to start every DFS lineup with Hill as their starting wide receiver. This game should be wide open, high scoring, and Hill is going to be right in the middle of it all. Look for about 6 catches for 140 yards and a touchdown.
There will be games that Jefferson struggles in, especially if Sam Donald is bad but the Giants secondary does not pose a big threat at all. In fact, I think Darnold performs better than most people expect and I think Jefferson goes for about 6 for 100 yards and catches a touchdown.
The Commanders have really struggled covering WR1 and although they’ve done a lot of good things to try to get this team on track in 2024 they still have major issues in their secondary. In the brief time that they played together in the preseason, it was obvious that Baker Mayfield and Mike Evans had a terrific connection. Look for Evans to dominate on Sunday and look for him to have about 90 yards and a touchdown.
Honorable Mentions: Malik Nabers, Rome Odunze
Arizona has historically struggled against opposing tight ends and I think this is the week that Kincaid makes his mark as the top receiving option for Josh Allen. Look for him to dominate the Cardinals linebackers and go for 7 catches for 80 yards and a touchdown.
If you want to correlate a play in the Jacksonville/ Miami game the play that I would correlate with would be Tyreek Hill with Evan Engram. He was arguably Trevor Lawrence’s top receiving option last year and with Christian Kirk not 100% healthy and with Brian Thomas still learning the route tree, Engram can take advantage of Miami’s linebackers who are not especially good in coverage. Look for him to have about 15 fantasy points in this game.
There are going to be some games that you don’t want to start Taysom Hill. Most of those will be on the road and certainly in games where the Saints may be trailing. But when the Saints are at home in a game that they’re expected to win this is where Hill thrives. I think he’s going to be their top option in the red zone and I absolutely see him scoring a touchdown this week.
Honorable Mention: Trey McBride, Jake Ferguson
