Thursday, Dec 12th

AFC WEST MIDSEASON RECAP

Standings after Week 10:
  • Chiefs 9-0
  • Chargers 6-3
  • Broncos 5-5 (Week 14 bye)
  • Raiders 2-7

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

General Notes :: 
  • Patrick Mahomes has morphed into more of a game manager at this point in his career and with this team. He continues to make the plays the Chiefs need him to make when they need to be made, but he is not the gunslinger we were introduced to when he entered the league.
  • Travis Kelce is becoming a dominant force in fantasy football on pure volume, with 40 targets over his last three games.
  • DeAndre Hopkins is the clear top WR on this team and is playing in a role similar to what Rashee Rice held to start the year when he was one of the top WRs in the league.
  • WR Xavier Worthy has been extremely disappointing after an exciting opening week. 
  • Kareem Hunt is leading the backfield, but he appears to be wearing down a bit. Isiah Pacheco is expected to return from his broken fibula by the end of November and could provide a boost for the fantasy playoffs.
Offensive Outlook :: 

The Chiefs have been winning games and are on top of the NFL with an unblemished record in large part thanks to their elite defense. Their offense flashed some potential in a Week 9 win over the Bucs, but they had another pedestrian outing against the Broncos in Week 10. The Bucs have been struggling defensively, while Denver is one of the tougher defenses in the league, so it is hard to say if the Chiefs’ offense really found something or just picked on a weak opponent. Over nine games, the Chiefs have scored 30 points only once while not allowing an opponent to score more than 25 all season. This is not a team that is creating fruitful offensive environments and that doesn’t seem likely to change over the second half of the season.

Looking Ahead :: 

Kansas City’s focus is winning games, not lighting up the scoreboard. As such, the two opponent types that seem to be a red flag for Chiefs offensive players for fantasy football are non-competitive teams and teams with very good defenses, but less-than-aggressive offenses. The Chiefs have two games left against poor opponents in the Panthers and Raiders as well as three games against very good defenses of the Chargers, Browns, and Steelers – with two of those games coming in the fantasy playoffs. Week 11 against Buffalo and Week 16 against the Texans are the only remaining games on the Chiefs’ schedule where I would expect them to potentially be pushed by the opposing offense in a competitive game environment.

Fantasy Playoffs ::
  • Week 15 — at Browns
    • Run Defense DVOA — 15th
    • Pass Defense DVOA — 23rd
  • Week 16 — vs Texans
    • Run Defense DVOA — 2nd
    • Pass Defense DVOA — 4th
  • Week 17 — at Steelers
    • Run Defense DVOA — 9th
    • Pass Defense DVOA — 10th

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS

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