The Bills’ offense is relatively spread out in terms of usage and production, but they are humming from a real-life perspective. Buffalo has an 8-2 record and has scored 30+ points in seven of 10 games. Their pass rate is down from past years and they are rotating and using multiple players at all of the skill positions. No one has emerged as a clear “alpha” among the Bills, which is a bit of a gift and a curse as they don’t have someone they know they can go to in big moments but they are also hard for opponents to prepare for as Allen can simply look for the open man rather than having to feel the pressure to force it in a certain direction. When healthy, we should expect the Bills three-WR set to consist of Cooper, Coleman, and Shakir with Kincaid as the primary TE. Cooper, Coleman, and Kincaid are dealing with injuries and could be held out of Week 11 to let them avoid making their injuries worse prior to the natural week of rest and rehab during their Week 12 bye.
The Bills’ defense has beat up on the weaker opponents they have faced and has only allowed more than 20 points three times this season. That is notable because two of those instances were against the only top-10 DVOA offenses they have faced this season, and the third instance was against the Dolphins at full strength. This is important because the Bills face the Chiefs this week prior to their Week 12 bye, then face three very good offenses in the 49ers, Rams, and Lions in Weeks 13 through 15. Buffalo could (should?) have a nice run of fruitful game environments coming up. In Weeks 16 and 17, the Bills face the Patriots and Jets, who will both likely be just playing out the string at that point. I am particularly bullish on rookie Davis, who is talented and would have a huge role in great matchups and/or game environments if Cook were ever to miss time.
