Sonic is a Milly Maker winner and large-field tournament mastermind who focuses on mass-multi-entry play
Our last real slate of the year and it’s a massive 13-gamer. We’ll need to nail multiple low-owned plays and group them together to take down these large field tournaments.
I’m gonna be so bummed when I ship the Milly and only have a few hours to spend it before the tax year ends. Tough times.
We’re always hunting for those high-ceiling combinations to add to our existing game stacks. It’s better to aim at getting four things right instead of trying to hit a nine-way parlay. I’ll lean on a handful of core secondary stacks that will be finessed into lineups whenever feasible.
AJB is on the list of dudes that can break this slate. At 5% ownership, it’s a no-brainer for me to get at least 2.5x the field. It won’t be easy at his $8600 price tag though. Since we’ll need some salary relief, let’s do it in a way that correlates and provides a solid floor. Dortch performs about as consistently as anyone in his $4200 price range due to his volume of catchable targets, and as we witnessed last week, he has the speed to take advantage of mistakes in the secondary. The Eagles are thin in the defensive backfield and Kyler Murray and company will likely be playing from behind resulting in a high pass rate. Even in a neutral game script, I expect Arizona will elect not to run into the formidable Eagles defensive front. My eyes popped when I saw his projected ownership at 0.8%. Sign me up for pieces of Dortch as well as a sprinkling of Michael “double goose egg” Wilson.
WHAT IF Jalen Hurts leans on his alpha wide receiver in a must-win game and Kyler Murray chucks it 40+ times to keep pace?
I’ll ask Bink Machine to put Dortch in 40% of my AJB rosters.
Pickens 2.5%. Lockett 8.2%
This game has some interesting angles to consider. Pickens showed some chemistry with 8th string QB Mason Rudolph last week and may be playing from behind at Seattle on Sunday afternoon. The “afternoon” part of this bears mention because we could have some late swap situations developing here. If Kenneth Walker (shoulder, illness) sits, and the news comes late, Zach Charbonnet becomes an intriguing late swap candidate. If news of a Charbonnet start breaks early, he could become highly owned at a comfortable $4600 price, and he’d then be someone we would swap off, should our rosters be trailing the pack. Utilize the flex (see Jaxon Smith-Njigba) and stay on your toes!
Tyler Lockett feels like a play that falls into a category that JM refers to regularly. He’s had solid non-TD results in two of the last three weeks and he fell just short of the 100-yard bonus in each. If things come together this week and his 24% target share results in the bonus and an end zone trip, Lockett becomes a valuable piece at $5700.
If you want some leverage off the Zamir White chalk, look no further than same-game running back Taylor (3.9%) and high-volume stud teammate Adams (8.7%). I’ll be paring these two in some lineups that utilize some of the cheaper QB stacks like the Saints, Giants, and Cardinals.
FanDuel scoring is TD-dependent, and this game has a healthy 46.5 total. The field appears convinced that Lamar Jackson and Zay Flowers will be the TD scorers on the Baltimore side, while Reek is projecting as the highest-owned Miami player at a paltry 8.2%.
WHAT IF the touchdowns come from proven touchdown-makers Gus Edwards and Tyreek Hill?
Hill can break any slate at any time, in any matchup. This matchup sucks but that’s why we get him at single-digit ownership. This looks way better if Ravens safety Kyle Hamilton is unable to play through his knee injury.
For Gus to smash at 2% ownership, we just need variance to tilt in his favor. Ravens get multiple 1st and goal situations and stuff it in Gus’ belly. He could also rack up 4th quarter yards if Ravens get out to a lead and wear down the traveling Dolphins defense.
He is the meat in a tasty salary sandwich between chalk Zamir White and Ezekiel Elliott, making him a nice “leverage” piece from a price pivot standpoint.