Papy is a full-time DFS player, with a focus on high-stakes tourneys, and with hundreds of thousands in lifetime profit
A lot of this slate comes down to how you want to handle the top two offenses (Philly // SF) and the top game environment (Mia @ Balt). Most lineups are going to focus on those games, and since everyone desirable in the most attractive games is expensive, it’s not going to be easy to fill out the rest of your roster in a week when value is relatively limited. Slayton isn’t a sexy pick, but he plays almost every snap and is a WR1 who is priced like a punt. He makes a nice bringback on Rams stacks or in a mini correlation play with Kyren Williams ($8,300), who is one of the most attractive running backs on the slate. Slayton is priced around guys like Justin Watson ($3,400), Jonathan Mingo ($3,500), D.J. Chark ($3,600), Michael Wilson ($3,500), and Rondale Moore ($3,600). One of those guys is probably going to produce a score that opens the slate, but over half of that list is also likely to produce a roster killing dud. Give me Slayton out of the group, who is playing in one of the better game environments and has shown he can produce with Tyrod at the helm. One caveat is that Slayton is currently the beneficiary of the “Monday Night Discount” and people like to play guys in that situation. His ownership might be higher than it should be for a player whose most likely outcome is a brick. If you want to ensure low ownership, I’d go with Mingo. Mingo is a low confidence play, but he’s always on the field, has a good matchup, and should carry under 5% ownership.
Shaheed paced the Saints WRs in snaps last week (82%). While Chris Olave ($6,800) is the Saints WR1 and a strong play in his own right, Shaheed has been closer to a WR2 than a situational deep threat. Shaheed has a reputation for being a boom-or-bust player, but his role has evolved, and he’s seen 9 // 4 // 5 // 9 targets over his past four healthy games. The Bucs have been one of the best matchups to target with enemy passing games, and the Saints are likely to tilt more pass heavy than usual in a must win division game. Derrick Carr has battled injuries all year, but he finally looked healthy last week and threw a season high 40 times. Maybe the Saints were limiting Carr’s passing attempts because he was always playing through pain? If Carr throws over 40 times this week, Shaheed is a good candidate to see 8-10 targets, which gives him more floor than his reputation would indicate. He’s one of the few players priced below $5,000 who has slate winning upside, which makes him a player I’ll be featuring in my tighter builds that don’t use Olave.
