Papy is a full-time DFS player, with a focus on high-stakes tourneys, and with hundreds of thousands in lifetime profit
Lions at Vikings is a great game environment, and all the main pieces of both offenses are in play. I’ll be using Amon St. Ra Brown ($8,200), Justin Jefferson ($8,100), Sam Laporta ($6,400), Jahmyr Gibbs ($7,000), David Montgomery ($6,900), Jordan Addison ($6,000), T.J Hockenson ($5,800) and Ty Chandler ($5,600). They all make sense, but they’re either expensive, popular, or both. What about Jameson Williams? Last week was notable for Williams for a couple of reasons. He played 68% of the snaps which is the most he has been on the field this season. He played ahead of Josh Reynolds for the first time, after playing in a near-dead even split with Reynolds in Week 14, and before Week 14, Reynolds was playing firmly ahead of Williams. And last week wasn’t just the first time Williams was the Lions clear WR2, it was also the first time they included him in the game plan as more than a situational deep threat. Williams saw seven targets (he had eight targets over his previous four games combined) and turned them into a 4/47 line. That doesn’t look like much unless you’re paying attention, and Williams is expected to draw under 5% ownership, making him great leverage off all the chalk in this game. Throw in that the Vikings like to blitz, and it’s not hard to see a breakout game for Williams where he catches a long touchdown. On a slate with limited value, Williams is a great tournament play.
McBride’s price finally went up! Just not nearly enough. McBride has been a regular in this article for the past month and he continues to produce. He’s seen 11 // 9 // 9 // 7 // 9 targets in the past five weeks and turned them into 23.2 // 22.9 // 13.0 // 9.3 // 24.1 DK points. That’s elite TE production on par with what we would expect to see from a player priced $1,000 – $1,500 higher. The best part? McBride has delivered the above DK scores while only finding the end zone once over that span. As good as McBride’s been, he’s only scored twice all year! It feels like there is meat left on the bone and if McBride hits for a multi-TD game, he has the potential to break the slate. That’s not something you can say about many TEs. McBride is going to remain a staple of my lineups if he’s priced below $6,000, and he’s my favorite bring-back to play opposite Justin Fields stacks.
Wilson bricked out last week seeing only four targets (his lowest of the year) in a game his team lost 30-0. You’d think losing badly would create more passing game volume, but the Jets offense looked hopeless from the start, and Wilson withered on the vine alongside the rest of his teammates. It didn’t help that Zach Wilson exited in the 2nd quarter and that Garrett Wilson was shadowed by Jalen Ramsey. It’s not that Zach is particularly good, but he does like to pump the ball to his top WR. But Zach has been ruled out already this week and reports say he’s also likely to miss Week 17. Siemian being under center dings Garett Wilson’s projections, but there is always the chance with a full week as the starter Siemian figures out his best shot at moving the ball is feeding Wilson. The Commanders have been horrific against WRs, and the Jets don’t have anyone else to command targets. I’ll roll the dice that Sieman decides his best chance is firing the ball to Wilson 10 plus times, which should be plenty to hurt the Commanders.
