Late Swap 17.23

StatATL has a math degree and a background as a financial analyst, and has blended an analytical, numbers-driven approach with an “OWS mindset” to rack up over $100,000 in lifetime DFS profit while maintaining low weekly buy-ins

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Outlook – Late Games:

The Week 17 main slate is one of the largest of the season, featuring 13 games. With an increase in options in general and specifically many good spots, I would expect the score required to win a tournament this week to be closer to 250 points. What does that mean from a high-level perspective? As always, we want to focus on ceiling outcomes, however, I think it puts an even higher importance on ensuring every player on your roster has the realistic potential to go for at least 20 DK points.

Important Early Outcomes to Watch:

With 10 of the 13 games falling into the early window, there are more outcomes to monitor than on a standard week. This week, they are:

• SF 49ers, specifically Christian McCaffrey – The Niners have the highest implied team total on the slate and should have no problem scoring against this porous Commanders defense. CMC is the most expensive player on the slate but is also projected for the highest overall ownership at over 30%. He has shown 50-point upside already this season and gets his best on-paper matchup of the year.     
• Zamir White – With Josh Jacobs inactive the past two weeks, White saw 21+ opportunities each week and exceeded 17 DK points in both weeks. This week he gets a porous Colts run defense with Jacobs expected to be out once again. On a slate starved for value, White is projected for 30% ownership.
• LA Rams, specifically Kyren Williams – The matchup against the Giants should lead to robust opportunities for all of Kyren Williams, Puka Nacua, and Cooper Kupp and I would expect (at least one) to put up a tournament-worthy score this week.
• Gerald Everett – With Keenan Allen ruled out, Everett is projecting to be one of the highest owned overall on the entire slate at $3,500. He is likely to see 6-9 targets but has yet to surpass 15 DK points all season.
• Slate Breakers – Such as Ja’Marr Chase’s 55 DK point performance in week 5 or Amari Coopers’ 52 points last week.

Price Range Breakdowns (Late Games):

$7,100 and up: