Late Swap 6.23

StatATL has a math degree and a background as a financial analyst, and has blended an analytical, numbers-driven approach with an “OWS mindset” to rack up over $100,000 in lifetime DFS profit while maintaining low weekly buy-ins

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Outlook – Late Games:

Week 6 has several high-powered offenses off the main slate including the Chiefs, Bills, Chargers, and Cowboys. With these teams not in the player pool, the field finds itself missing many pay-up options at two key positions: QB (Mahomes/Allen/Herbert/Lamar), and TE (Kelce/Andrews). Along with these exclusions, no Pollard, Henry, or Ekeler makes for a huge gap in the RB pricing, with a $2,200 difference between CMC and the next highest tailback, David Montgomery. In terms of roster construction, this will likely have a lot of the field building in a similar fashion – rostering a mid-priced QB (ex Burrow/Stafford), two RBs in the $6,000 to $7,300 range, a TE between $3,500 and $4,500 and then differentiating at the WR spots as there are enticing options at every price range. We’ll discuss below how we can utilize that knowledge to our advantage as there are 4 games in the late window this week, and many viable options.

Important Early Outcomes to Watch:

• Travis Etienne, Christian Kirk, and Evan Engram – With Zay Jones ruled out, the Jaguars become a more condensed offense while sporting the third-highest team total on the slate (behind MIA and PHI). One of these three (or Calvin Ridley) is reasonably likely to put up a strong price-considered fantasy score.
• Joe Mixon and Ja’Marr Chase – Both these Bengals are projecting as two of the three highest in overall ownership with Tee Higgins still questionable after missing last week. Chase went for 55 DK points last week on 19 targets while Mixon had 25 rushing attempts to go along with 4 receptions.
• Tyreek Hill, Raheem Mostert, and Jaylen Waddle – The Dolphins are a condensed offense and have the largest team total on the slate (by a field goal), yet none of these three potential slate breakers is projected at top-five ownership at their position.
• Slate Breakers such as Ja’Marr Chase’s 55.2 DK point performance last week.

Price Range Breakdowns (Late Games):

$7,100 and up: